The Hill’s 50 races to watch


New Hampshire 1st District

Carol Shea-Porter (D) vs Frank Guinta (R)

In a rematch of their battle two years ago, freshman Rep. Frank Guinta (R) is fighting to keep his seat against Democratic challenger Carol Shea-Porter, who represented the district for two terms before being swept away in the Tea Party wave of 2010.

Then, Guinta found success hammering Shea-Porter over President Obama’s healthcare law and economic stimulus bill — both of which she supported — and he’s hoping those attacks resonate again this year with government-wary Granite State voters. 

Shea-Porter, meanwhile, has fiercely defended those votes, saying the stimulus has boosted the job market and the Affordable Care Act has improved the nation’s healthcare system. Playing a factor in the contest is the state’s unemployment rate, which at 5.7 percent is well below the national average.

Polls tracking the race have been all over the place. A University of New Hampshire survey released Friday found Guinta ahead by 10 — just two weeks after the school found Shea-Porter up by 11. 

The Hill rates this race as leaning Democratic.