Illinois 8th District
Tammy Duckworth (D) vs Joe Walsh
Freshman Rep. Joe Walsh (R), one of the most surprising victors of 2010 and an outspoken supporter of the Tea Party, is also one of the incumbents most likely to lose his reelection bid.
Walsh has hurt himself by spending months embroiled in a nasty fight with an ex-wife over unpaid child support and pooh-poohing his opponent’s service in Iraq (she lost both of her legs when her helicopter was shot down in 2003). Republicans have recently started spending on his behalf in the expensive suburban Chicago district, but Duckworth is favored to win this race.
The Hill rates this race likely Democratic.