Poll: Romney posts gains in swing states

Mitt Romney has posted gains in the 12 swing states that will be critical in determining the outcome of the 2012 election, according to a Purple Insights poll released Wednesday.

The new poll shows Romney with small leads in three of the biggest swing states on the map  — Florida, Ohio and Virginia. Those three states have a total of 60 electoral votes.

The poll was taken after Romney picked Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) as his running mate. 

“Taken as a whole, these data indicate a small bump in the immediate aftermath of the [Paul] Ryan [vice presidential] announcement,” the report from Purple Insights said. “Nonetheless it is also the first sign of positive momentum for the Romney campaign that we’ve seen in the Purple Poll in the last few months.”

Obama won Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin in his 2008 bid for the White House, and will need to win about half of these in 2012 to secure reelection.



According to Purple, Romney leads Obama 47 percent to 46 in those 12 states. That’s a swing of 3 percentage points from the same poll in July, when Obama led 47 percent to 45.

Romney leads Obama by 48 percent to 47 in Florida, but the same poll showed Obama trailing there by 3 percent last month. 

Romney leads 48 percent to 46 in Ohio, after trailing 48 to 45 percent last month, and in Virginia, the poll showed Romney leading 48 percent to 45, after he trailed by 2 percent in July. 

Obama widened his lead in Colorado to 49 to 46 percent, after leading by 1 percent last month.

Romney is buoyed in the poll by independents, who favor him by 11 points over Obama. Romney led by 5 points among independents in the same poll from July.

Ryan is the only candidate to post a positive favorability rating in the poll, at 45 percent positive and 39 negative.

The poll of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between Aug. 13 and Aug. 14, and has a 3 percent margin of error. According to pollster Purple Insights, a division of a self-identified bipartisan public affirms firm Purple Strategies, the Purple Poll fields surveys exclusively from the 12 states identified as those most likely to affect the 2012 election.