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Poll: Romney opens 1-point lead in Iowa

By Justin Sink - 11/01/12 01:31 PM ET

A new poll of Iowa shows Mitt Romney opening a 1-point lead in the state, evidence that the Republican challenger could be making headway in the crucial battleground state. But two other surveys also released Thursday gave President Obama an advantage, suggesting that the Rasmussen survey favoring Romney could be an outlier — although all three of the polls suggest momentum could be shifting in the Republican nominee's favor.

The Rasmussen poll, the most favorable of the pair to the Republican presidential candidate, gave Romney a 49-48 percent advantage in the Hawkeye State. That's a 1-point improvement for Romney over a 48-48 percent split in the same poll released just over a week prior.

But Rasmussen's likely-voter screen has consistently shown a rosier picture for Romney than other surveys of the state, a trend that remained true on Thursday. A WeAskAmerica poll also released Thursday gave President Obama a 49-47 percent advantage, good for a 2-point lead in the state. But in an encouraging sign for Romney, that again represented a single-point swing in his favor from the last poll conducted by that firm in the state, a mid-October survey that gave the president a 49-46 percent advantage.


The best news for the Obama campaign came in the form of an NBC News and Wall Street Journal poll that pegged the president's lead at 6 points. But again, Obama's 50-44 percent showing Thursday was a regression from a 51-43 percent lead posted in mid-October.

Asked Thursday if the Obama team was confident they would hold Iowa, deputy campaign manager Stephanie Cutter indicated that they perceived the president's chances as good.

"Yeah, it is going to hold," Cutter said Thursday during an appearance on MSNBC. "We feel good where we are."

The Rasmussen poll carried a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, while the other two surveys' margins of error were plus or minus 3 points.

Mitt Romney announced he will be traveling to Dubuque for a rally Saturday, while Vice President Biden had events in Muscatine and Fort Dodge scheduled for Thursday.


Source:
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/265375-poll-romney-opens-one-point-lead-in-iowa

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