Ted CruzTed CruzDemocrats pounce on Cruz's Supreme Court comments Brent Budowsky: An epic battle for the future of Congress Cruz: Precedent exists for keeping Supreme Court short-staffed MORE leads the GOP field in his home state of Texas, a new poll finds.
Cruz takes 38 percent support, while Donald TrumpDonald TrumpLocal leaders turning the heat up on Citizens United WATCH LIVE: Trump speaks at third Ohio rally Picking longtime fixer as chief of staff proves Clinton hasn't changed MORE receives 29 percent, according to a University of Texas-Texas Tribune survey released on Tuesday.
That’s in line with the RealClearPolitics average, which finds Cruz leading Trump 37 to 28 in the state.
Rounding out the field are Marco RubioMarco RubioObama plans 'aggressive' blitz for Clinton in campaign's final days One way or another, 2016 was all about Donald Trump's hands Poll: Clinton has 4-point lead over Trump in Florida MORE, at 15 percent; Jeb Bush, who dropped out of the race over the weekend, at 6 percent; John Kasich, at 5 percent; and Ben Carson, at 4 percent.
Voters in Texas will cast ballots on March 1, known as Super Tuesday, along with 10 other states.
Cruz’s surrogates acknowledge that Texas is a must-win state for him, as a home loss would call into question his prospects elsewhere.
Cruz has long held that the Southern states casting ballots on Super Tuesday will be his firewall, but a disappointing finish in South Carolina on Saturday has raised doubts about his evangelical support and organizational strength.
Among self-described “churchgoers” in Texas, though, Cruz leads Trump by double-digits, while Trump leads Cruz by double-digits among those who never attend church.
Texas will award its 155 delegates proportionately, with Cruz and Trump poised to take the lion’s share, according to most surveys.
On the Democratic side, Hillary ClintonHillary Rodham ClintonLocal leaders turning the heat up on Citizens United WATCH LIVE: Trump speaks at third Ohio rally Picking longtime fixer as chief of staff proves Clinton hasn't changed MORE leads Bernie SandersBernie SandersPicking longtime fixer as chief of staff proves Clinton hasn't changed The Trail 2016: Wikissues Brent Budowsky: An epic battle for the future of Congress MORE, 54 to 44.
Clinton is running up the score among minority voters in Texas, leading 70 to 27 with African-Americans, and 60 to 37 with Hispanics.
Sanders, meanwhile, takes 55 percent among white voters, compared to 44 for Clinton.
Clinton leads among every age group in the poll except for those between 18 and 29. Among the youngest voters, Sanders leads 62 to 29.
The UT-TT survey of 1,200 voters was conducted Feb. 12–19. The GOP poll has 4.2 point margin of error and the Democratic poll has a 5.4 point margin of error.