If Republican Tim Burns can win the special election to replace Rep. John Murtha (D-Pa.), we may be talking about it as a repudiation of the healthcare bill.
It turns out the bill is tremendously unpopular in the district. That is, according to a sneak peek of a poll that is set to be released tomorrow by Public Policy Polling (D):
Some Democrats may not be thrilled Mark Critz is emphasizing his
opposition to the health care bill as he seeks to replace John Murtha in
the House, but after polling the district it's hard to see that as
anything but necessary for survival. Only 28% of voters in the district
express support for it with 59% opposed. Even Democrats there support
it by just a 43/39 margin.
Obama's overall approval rating in the district is 33%, with 57% of voters disapproving of him. It's hard to imagine any Democrat winning an open seat this year where the President is that unpopular but it's still a close race. We'll have the full numbers out tomorrow.