A new poll out Thursday shows Republican Marco Rubio maintaining his double-digit lead in Florida's three-way Senate contest.
The Quinnipiac poll shows Rubio with a 13-point edge over Gov. Charlie Crist (I). Rubio garners 46 percent of the vote to Crist's 33. Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-Fla.) remains stuck in third with 18 percent.
The findings mirror the result of a slew of polls in the month of September that give Rubio a double-digit lead over his rivals.
Even though Crist is polling well behind Rubio, the poll found that likely voters still approve of the job he's doing as governor — 51 percent to 43.
"If Gov. Crist winds up losing the race, he may kick himself for giving up his day job in Tallahassee," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll.
Anger at the federal government and opposition to the Democratic leadership in Washington are both factors driving support toward Tea Party favorite Rubio.
A full 48 percent of likely voters told Quinnipiac they are "angry" with the federal government. And by a margin of 53-41 percent, respondents said they want a senator who will oppose the policies of President Obama.
The survey polled 1,151 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
California's Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown leads Republican opponent Meg Whitman 52 to 39 percent among likely voters, according to a new Time/CNN/Opinion Research poll released Wednesday.
The survey also showed incumbent Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) leading GOP challenger Carly Fiorina by 19 points.
Meanwhile a new poll forthcoming from the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) gives Whitman a one-point edge over Brown, flipping his advantage, and shows Boxer with a steady seven-point lead over Fiorina.
Brown has led Whitman by up to five points in most other September polls. Observers note that he is favored by women and Latinos — a gap some say could widen after a Wednesday press conference in which a former housekeeper for Whitman alleged that she had been fired after asking the former Ebay executive for help in gaining legal status.
Polls throughout September have shown Fiorina trailing Boxer by between two and eight points, respectively.
The Time/CNN/Opinion Research poll was conducted Sept. 24-28 and has a 3-percent margin of error.
A new poll out Wednesday shows Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) polling nearly even with Republican nominee Joe Miller in Alaska's Senate race.
According to a new CNN/Time poll, the Tea Party-backed Miller leads Murkowski by just two percentage points--38 percent to 36 percent. Sitka Mayor Scott McAdams (D) is in third with 22 percent of the vote. The survey polled 927 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3 percentage points.
Murkowski is waging a write-in bid this fall after being upset by Miller in the state's GOP Senate primary.
The poll found a high level of support for Murkowski among Democrats. A full 39 percent of Democrats said they intend to write-in Murkowski's name in November, while 55 percent said they will vote for McAdams.
Among Republicans, Murkowski garners 32 percent to Miller's 63 percent.
The results come with a major caveat given the difficulty of polling a write-in campaign. Alaska-based pollster Marc Hellenthal said he expects a large drop-off between the percentage of voters who say they back Murkowski in pre-election polls to her actual vote percentage on Election Day.
Here's the way the question was asked: "If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Scott McAdams, the Democrat and Joe Miller, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for or would you write in the name of Lisa Murkowski, who is also running?"
National Republicans have largely abandoned Murkowski since she announced her write-in campaign and the NRSC is backing Miller.
The race to succeed retiring Rep. David Obey (D-Wis.) appears to be one of the most competitive in the country.
Democrat Julie Lassa's campaign released an internal poll Tuesday that shows her trailing Republican Sean Duffy by a single point.
Lassa was at 41 percent support, Duffy was at 42 percent and there were 10 percent undecided in the poll by the Washington-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The remaining 7 percent went to independent conservative candidate Gary Kauther. The survey of 504 likely 2010 voters in Wisconsin's 7th district was conducted Sept. 26-27. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
Democrats have made it clear they'll fight to hold this district while Republicans sense a pick-up opportunity. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's first IE ad targeted Duffy, and the National Republican Congressional Committee's IE has also aired an ad in the district.
New numbers out Tuesday from Quinnipiac University show Republican Linda McMahonhas closed what was once a double-digit gap with state Attorney General Richard Blumenthal (D).
The latest poll has McMahon trailing by just three percentage points — 49 percent to 46 — with 4 percent of voters still undecided. In a Q-Poll from earlier this month, Blumenthal's lead was slightly larger, 51 percent to 45.
The movement toward the former World Wrestling Entertainment executive comes in part from a shift in independent voters. Earlier this month, Blumenthal led by a single point among independents — 47-46 percent. But Tuesday's numbers give McMahon the edge with independents, 49-44 percent.
"Blumenthal has to be concerned about Linda McMahon's momentum," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz. "McMahon clearly is capitalizing on the anger that one-third of voters are feeling toward the federal government."
McMahon holds a big edge among "angry" voters. Respondents who described themselves as "angry" with the federal government are supporting McMahon 78 percent to 20.
The Republican has spent more than $22 million of her own money on the race, and a full 95 percent of likely voters told Quinnipiac they have seen a McMahon TV ad. She has closed a large gap with Blumenthal, who began the race with a lead of more than 20 percentage points.
One worry for McMahon: her favorables. Even as she has closed on the Democrat, her favorable numbers are split, with just 42 percent of likely voters holding a favorable view and 43 percent holding an unfavorable view of her.
Blumenthal recently got a campaign boost courtesy of President Obama, but his approval numbers are upside down in the state, according to Quinnipiac — just 45 percent of likely voters approve.
The survey polled 1,083 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.
Florida Rep. Ron Klein (D) and Republican challenger Allen West have been engaged in a sharp debate over who's leading their House race rematch.
West's campaign said its own recent polling gives the Republican, who challenged Klein in 2008, a 48-to-42 percent lead over the incumbent. But a new survey shows the Democrat leading by 5 points -- 48 to 43 percent, with 9 percent undecided.
The poll by Harstad Strategic Research surveyed 504 likely voters from Sept. 20-22. It was conducted for Project New West, a Colorado-based think tank.
The survey is the first indication that there has been little fallout from the recent Florida Democratic Party mailer, which was sent to voters containing West's Social Security number.
West's camp had suggested voters may become sympathetic to the Republican over concerns about identity theft. Twenty percent of the district is over 65 and seniors are disproportionately victims of identity theft, which may have caused a backlash against Klein.
West's family signed up for identity theft-protection as a result of the mailer.
California Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) has increased her lead over Republican Carly Fiorina in the latest Field Pollreleased Friday.
Boxer has a six-point lead over her challenger, 47 percent to 41, with 12 percent still undecided, in the new survey. The Democrat led by only three points in the July poll.
This race is shaping up as a referendum on Boxer's tenure. Two-thirds of Fiorina supporters said that their preference is more a vote against Boxer — a protest vote — with only 31 percent saying it was a vote for Fiorina. Moreover, 28 percent of respondents still have no opinion of Fiorina.
And of those who do, Fiorina generates a mixed response, with 34 percent of voters holding a positive impression and 38 percent a negative assessment.
Fiorina’s first TV ad of the general election, which was released this week, did little to expand voters' impression of her. The spot focused exclusively on Boxer and her "arrogance."
The Field Poll was conducted Sept. 14-21 and surveyed a random sample of 857 registered voters, of whom 599 were considered likely to vote in the midterm election.
Fiorina's camp noted that the poll was being done as Boxer was up statewide with an ad that hits the Republican for her tenure at the head of Hewlett-Packard. In the close of the 30-second spot, the announcer says of Fiorina, "outsourcing jobs, out for herself."
Moreover, said Fiorina spokeswoman Andrea Saul, "after spending millions of dollars on baseless, deceptive and unanswered attack ads against Carly, she failed to gain any support and only temporarily moved 3 percent of the vote to undecided."
This is the TV ad that Boxer released earlier this month.
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