Republican presidential front-runner Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpLieu: There will be 'widespread civil unrest' if Trump fires Mueller Attorneys for Trump, Mueller hold face-to-face meeting to discuss potential interview topics: report Trump tariffs not helpful for nuclear talks, South Korea says MORE holds a 7-point lead over rival Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzOvernight Tech: Facebook faces crisis over Cambridge Analytica data | Lawmakers demand answers | What to watch for next | Day one of AT&T's merger trial | Self-driving Uber car kills pedestrian The case for a new branch of the military: United States Space Force The problem with hindsight MORE in Iowa, fueled by first-time GOP caucusgoers, according to a new poll.

Trump leads Cruz, 31 to 24 percent, in the Quinnipiac poll released Monday morning.

Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioRubio: McCabe 'should've been allowed to finish through the weekend' For Tillerson, bucking Trump became a job-killer At least six dead after pedestrian bridge collapses on cars in Florida MORE has 17 percent, while no other GOP candidate has double-digit support, with Ben Carson the closest, at 8 percent. 

Trump has edged past Cruz in the Hawkeye State over the past few weeks but on Monday shied away from predicting a win over his GOP rivals.
Trump's rise in the Quinnipiac poll is boosted by first-time Iowa voters: 40 percent say they will support him, compared with 22 percent for Cruz. 
Among first-time voters, Sanders holds a major lead over Clinton, 62 to 35 percent, while Clinton holds a 9-point lead among those who have caucused before.

Martin O’Malley has 3 percent support in the Hawkeye State.

Attention in the 2016 cycle has been largely dominated by political outsiders, and pollsters predict high turnout could boost Trump and Sanders, who have positioned themselves as such.
The survey of 890 likely GOP caucusgoers and 919 likely Democratic caucusgoers was conducted Jan. 25–31 via landlines and cellphones with a margin of error of 3.3 points for Republicans and 3.2 points for Democrats.