Republican presidential front-runner Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpHouse Democrat slams Donald Trump Jr. for ‘serious case of amnesia’ after testimony Skier Lindsey Vonn: I don’t want to represent Trump at Olympics Poll: 4 in 10 Republicans think senior Trump advisers had improper dealings with Russia MORE holds a 7-point lead over rival Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzDebbie Wasserman Schultz marks 10 years as breast cancer survivor Foreign agent registration is no magical shield against Russian propaganda Let Trump be Trump and he'll sail through 2020 MORE in Iowa, fueled by first-time GOP caucusgoers, according to a new poll.

Trump leads Cruz, 31 to 24 percent, in the Quinnipiac poll released Monday morning.

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Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioRyan pledges 'entitlement reform' in 2018 Richard Gere welcomes lawmakers' words of support for Tibet Dem lawmaker gives McConnell's tax reform op-ed a failing grade MORE has 17 percent, while no other GOP candidate has double-digit support, with Ben Carson the closest, at 8 percent. 

Trump has edged past Cruz in the Hawkeye State over the past few weeks but on Monday shied away from predicting a win over his GOP rivals.
 
Trump's rise in the Quinnipiac poll is boosted by first-time Iowa voters: 40 percent say they will support him, compared with 22 percent for Cruz. 
 
Among first-time voters, Sanders holds a major lead over Clinton, 62 to 35 percent, while Clinton holds a 9-point lead among those who have caucused before.

Martin O’Malley has 3 percent support in the Hawkeye State.

Attention in the 2016 cycle has been largely dominated by political outsiders, and pollsters predict high turnout could boost Trump and Sanders, who have positioned themselves as such.
 
The survey of 890 likely GOP caucusgoers and 919 likely Democratic caucusgoers was conducted Jan. 25–31 via landlines and cellphones with a margin of error of 3.3 points for Republicans and 3.2 points for Democrats.