Presidential races

  December 13, 2010, 4:39 pm

Huckabee: Obama self-destructed defending tax cuts

By Emily Goodin

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) harshly criticized President Obama in an interview, saying the president "has shown no appetite for compromise with Republicans, zero."

Huckabee, who is a possible 2012 presidential candidate, said Obama to "some degree, he still has his head in the sand." He added: "He is a very ideologically left-of-center person who wants to take the country in a very dramatic direction, and I don't think that's what people wanted."

In the interview with National Journal, Huckabee said the tax-cut extension Obama worked out with congressional Republicans was "the best anyone can hope for" but said he was shocked that it was only two years.

"Politically, I was shocked it was going to be two not three, because it puts this whole thing in the very center, the bullseye of the 2012 presidential election," the former governor said. "The most bizarre part of the whole process was watching President Obama self-destruct at the podium [Dec. 7th]. I was just stunned — I really couldn't believe that a man that was elected president was as amateurish as he was and essentially launched from the podium at some of his own, taking aim and mowing down everybody in D.C. and walking away having not understood that he just lost a lot of people."

Huckabee declined to say whether or not he's running for the Republican nomination in two years, saying he has to consider who else is in the picture.

"The real question for me is, do I get through the nomination process? I feel better about getting through the general election if I were the nominee. I think I would be one of the best at drawing real contrasts with President Obama. A lot of the polls show I do exceptionally well, far better than any Republican candidate," he said. "But the question is, is the Republican primary going to be about Obama or is it going to be a demolition derby in which the candidates tear each other apart? If the field runs against Obama and unites as a field against Obama, they win, and there's a good chance he'll be a one-term president. If it's like it was last time, where everyone's trying to out-conservative each other, play toward [advocacy organizations], it will be a disaster."

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  December 13, 2010, 8:53 am

Ron Paul: 'At least 50-50' chance of 2012 run for president

By Michael O'Brien

Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) said there's at least a 50-50 chance he'll run for president again in 2012.

Paul, the libertarian Republican who ran for the GOP nomination in 2008, hinted that he could be preparing another bid in two years.

“I’d say it’s at least 50-50 that I’ll run again,” Paul told The New York Times in a profile piece published Monday.

Paul has seen his brand of conservatism bolstered by several developments since he last sought higher office: namely, the ascendancy of the Tea Party movement: the election of his son, Rand, as a Republican senator from Kentucky: and political momentum behind a signature issue of his, an audit of the Federal Reserve.

The Texas congressman, who was the Libertarian Party's presidential nominee in 1988, made respectable showings in several primaries and caucuses in the 2008 cycle. He won 24 percent of the GOP vote in the Idaho primary, 22 percent in the Washington state caucus and 21 percent in the North Dakota caucus.

Paul also proved to be a fundraising powerhouse in his run for president, fueled mostly by fervent, small-dollar donations. His presidential campaign raised over $35 million for the cycle, about $34.6 million of that driven by individual contributions.

If Paul were to enter the 2012 race, he'd enter a crowded Republican field with no clear front-runner. Since recent polling has suggested Obama may be vulnerable in two years, more and more Republican candidates may look to enter the race.

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  December 12, 2010, 12:15 pm

Bloomberg says 'no way, no how' he will run for president

By Sam Youngman

Bloomberg railed against Washington in an address last week that fueled speculation that he was gearing up for an independent bid.

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  December 10, 2010, 10:05 am

Pawlenty heads to Iowa, N.H. on book tour

By Shane D'Aprile

Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R) is the latest rumored 2012 hopeful to take his book tour through some key Republican primary states.

According to a schedule released by Pawlenty's Freedom First PAC, the governor will kick off the tour for his book Courage to Stand in early January.

After launching the tour, Pawlenty has planned stops in New Hampshire and Iowa, along with Florida, Ohio and Texas during the first month of 2011.

The website for Pawlenty's political action committee features the first excerpt from the book, in which Pawlenty recounts a story of how he "tossed my cookies" due to the stench of rotting beef while helping his father earn some extra cash by cleaning truck trailers at the age of 12.

The book tours of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) also included swings through Iowa and some other early primary states.

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  December 9, 2010, 6:39 pm

White House hopefuls take aim at arms pact

By Sean J. Miller

Republican likely presidential hopefuls have united in opposition to the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START), which could make the agreement with Russia a 2012 campaign issue.

South Dakota Sen. John Thune (R) was the latest to offer his criticism.

"First and foremost, missile defense remains a major point of disagreement between the United States and Russia, and this treaty only makes the situation worse," he wrote in an opinion piece for National Review Online.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) predicted it would be an issue for voters in 2012.

"This will be a big issue because as a consequence of this treaty, President Obama will continue to undermine missile defense," Gingrich told The Associated Press. "It's an obsolete approach that's a holdover from the Cold War and a bilateral treaty without taking into account multilateral threats."

Gingrich and Thune join Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty and Sarah Palin as critics of the agreement.

The treaty would see the United States and Russia eliminate hundreds of nuclear weapons from their aging stockpiles. Obama has urged the Senate to pass the agreement during its lame-duck session, but some Republicans have complained there isn't enough time for that to happen.


--Updated at 6:18 p.m.

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  December 9, 2010, 5:04 pm

Gravel mulls primary challenge to Obama in '12

By Sean J. Miller

Former Alaska Sen. Mike Gravel is contemplating a primary challenge to President Obama.

Gravel, who ran for president in 2008, won't rule out a primary challenge to Obama in 2012.

"Both are possible," he told the Daily Caller.

Obama has been taking heat recently from the liberal wing of the Democratic Party, which was angered by his compromise with the GOP over extensions of the Bush-era tax rates for top income earners. 

While Gravel mulls his challenge, he made it clear he doesn't think Sarah Palin has a chance of defeating the president.

Gravel called the former Alaska governor a "very talented politician," but added: "Policy wise and intellectually, I think she leaves a great deal to be desired."

"I don't think she could beat Obama," he said.

Since his bid for the White House ended in 2008, Gravel has spoken increasingly about conspiracy theories surrounding 9/11 and called for an investigation into the attacks. He defended his suspicions in the interview.

"Individuals in and out of government may certainly have participated with the obviously known perpetrators of this dastardly act," Gravel told the website. "Suspicions abound over the analysis presented by government. Obviously an act that has triggered three wars, Afghan, Iraqi and the continuing War on Terror, should be extensively investigated, which was not done and which the government avoids addressing."

Should Gravel decide to run, his supporters would expect an unconventional campaign similar to the one that produced the famous "Rock" video below. 


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  December 9, 2010, 12:36 pm

Liberal group launches new ad blasting Obama

By Shane D'Aprile

A second TV ad designed to pressure President Obama from the left over the extension of Bush-era tax cuts is set to run in Washington, D.C., and Indiana starting Friday.

The spot is funded by the liberal Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and it recycles footage of Obama telling voters on the campaign trail in 2008 that former President George W. Bush's economic policies "offend my conscience." 

The spot ends with a message in white text over video of a cheering crowd at an Indiana campaign rally that reads, "If Obama won't fight for his promise, Congress needs to."

An earlier spot launched by the group also used footage of Obama on the '08 campaign trail railing against tax cuts for the top two percent of income earners. That ad ran on D.C. cable and in Iowa.

According to the group, the new ad will start running on D.C. cable starting Friday and be up through early next week. In Indiana, the group has purchased time in both the Indianapolis and Evansville markets on local broadcast and cable, with the spot launching Friday. 

"As a candidate, Obama took his message to red states like Indiana and won by promising that we would not have four more years of tax cuts for the wealthy," said PCCC co-founder Adam Green. "If Obama's deal passes, his presidency will represent four more years of those unconscionable tax cuts — a broken campaign promise born not out of necessity but out of a failure to fight."

Obama carried Indiana by the narrowest of margins over Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in 2008.

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  December 8, 2010, 3:01 pm

Bloomberg calls for 'middle way,' sparking more 2012 talk

By Shane D'Aprile

New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg's (I) presidential denials appear less convincing by the day. 

On Wednesday, Bloomberg laid out a platform for job creation in remarks that could easily double as a campaign stump speech.

While touting New York City's economic progress under his leadership, Bloomberg slammed "ideologues" on both the left and the right for pursuing partisan solutions rather than coming together to solve economic problems. 

"The economic policies that we have pursued to drive this growth have been neither left nor right, liberal nor conservative," Bloomberg said in prepared remarks. "Despite what ideologues on the left believe, government cannot tax and spend its way back to prosperity, especially when that spending is driven by pork barrel politics."

He continued: "At the same time, despite what ideologues on the right believe, government should not stand aside and wait for the business cycle to run its natural course. That would be intolerable, given the enormous unemployment we face and the worsening job prospects for the 15 million people who are trying to find work." 

The mayor called for state and federal lawmakers to chart "a middle way" in setting economic policy. 

"We need our federal and state governments to chart a middle way — between a government that would wash its hands of the problem and one that seeks to supplant the private sector; between a government that would stand on the sidelines and one that would take over the game." 

Bloomberg's remarks came at a breakfast hosted by a New York business group and the Brooklyn Chamber of Commerce. 

A recent poll showed a Bloomberg candidacy in 2012 could actually aid President Obama's reelection effort as the independent mayor continues to deny any interest in a presidential bid. 

The perfect scenario for Bloomberg, according to one Democratic consultant: Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin runs in 2012 and somehow manages to win the nomination, while a still stagnant economy keeps Obama's approval ratings, particularly among independents, in the tank. 

That could mean a gaping hole in the center of the electorate that Bloomberg can spend hundreds of millions of dollars of his own money courting with an independent White House bid. 

Bloomberg's also not the only New York billionaire mulling a presidential run. Real estate mogul Donald Trump said again Tuesday that he's "seriously considering" a 2012 bid. 


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  December 8, 2010, 12:23 pm

Dem pollster: Obama needs to show some toughness

By Shane D'Aprile

Longtime Democratic pollster Peter Hart on Wednesday said President Obama's tax cut deal with Republican leaders came "too early" and "too easily," leaving American voters wondering when he'll show his backbone.   

Speaking at a breakfast with reporters sponsored by The Christian Science Monitor, Hart panned Obama's Tuesday news conference defending the deal, saying the president appeared "more petulant than he did inspired."  

"What the American public is looking for and what they're trying to understand is his backbone," said Hart. "Where will this man stand up and where will he fight?"   

While Hart conceded that he thought Obama ultimately made the right decision in opting for compromise on an extension of Bush-era tax cuts, he said Obama's posture is emblematic of the president's problem connecting with voters.

"The difficulty with what happened here is that instead of being eyeball to eyeball [with Republicans] and blinking, they probably saw him at 40 yards and blinking," said Hart, who also said he thinks the American public is still trying to understand "how firm, how tough he is — and two years in, unlike other presidents, they don't have a good measure of that."  

What has come through loud and clear in Hart's famed focus groups with voters, though, is that while most like the president personally, they don't view him as relatable.   

"People did not see him as connecting, communicating, relating to the average person," said Hart. "This is a person who has great communication skills, but that sense of closeness, that sense of relationship was all missing." 

Ultimately, Hart said the president's prospects for reelection hinge largely on the economy, noting that he isn't sure whether an 8 percent unemployment rate come 2012 will translate to an Obama loss, but "if it's 10 percent, he will not be reelected." 

Hart also thinks Obama is in store for a tougher two years than former President Clinton endured after massive Republican gains in the 1994 midterm elections. 

"Clinton was a survivor," said Hart, noting that after the '94 election the former president made the decision that he would do whatever it took to win reelection. 

"If [Clinton] had been on the Titanic, he would have been in Life Boat One," he joked. "I don't care what the wig looked like or how the dress fit, he would have been in Life Boat One and he would have been out of there."

It's a stark contrast to Obama, whom Hart called "an adapter" — a quality he thinks makes it much harder for the current president to successfully navigate the new political environment. 

"Being an adapter just makes it that much tougher in this period of time," said Hart. "I think what he did this week on tax cuts was adapting to what his situation was." 

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  December 7, 2010, 9:31 am

Failed GOP candidates become 2012 gatekeepers in Iowa, New Hampshire

By Shane D'Aprile

Two candidates who came up short in the primaries have formed organizations to endorse 2012 presidential candidates.

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