Poll gives Udall reason to worry

Greg Nash

A new Colorado poll shows Sen. Mark Udall vulnerable heading into the election year, leading all of his potential Republican challengers by just single digits.

The poll, from Quinnipiac University, shows Udall topping no more than 45 percent against any of the five announced Republicans in the race.

State Sen. Randy Baumgartner and state Rep. Amy Stephens both hold Udall to the slimmest lead, each taking 41 percent to his 43 percent support. 

Against former Republican Senate nominee Ken Buck, Udall takes 45 percent to Buck’s 42 percent support.

The Democrat leads state Sen. Owen Hill by five percent, with 44 percent support, and tops businessman Jaime McMillan by seven points, with 45 percent support.

Those numbers are largely unchanged from the last Quinnipiac poll of the race, conducted in November, but the troubling numbers are compounded by the fact that Colorado voters are split over whether they think Udall should be reelected. Forty-two percent each believe he should have another term in office and believe he should be out this fall.

The poll also shows President Obama to be extremely unpopular, and likely to be a drag on the Senator in the state.

Fifty-nine percent of Coloradans disapprove of the president, and 60 percent oppose his health care law. Four in 10 voters in Colorado said they would be less likely to vote for Udall if President Obama campaigned with him in the state, a new poll finds. 

Udall recently dodged questions about whether he’d campaign with the president this fall. Obama won the swing state by just five points in 2012, and Democrats in far tougher races have avoided appearing with him in their home states this cycle.

While Republicans believe Udall is vulnerable heading into reelection — and this poll appears to show just that — Democrats are buoyed by the $4.7 million the senator has in his campaign war chest and the belief that he’ll weather the storm of yet another tough election, as well as the possibility that a bruising GOP primary could produce a weakened Republican nominee.

Another Democratic Senate candidate in the more friendly territory of Michigan, Rep. Gary Peters (D-Mich.), said he would appear by the president’s side at a ceremony in the state to sign the newly passed farm bill Friday. 

The poll surveyed 1,139 registered voters between Jan. 29 to Feb. 2 and holds a margin of error of 2.9 percent.