Polls show red-state Senate Dems still alive

Red-state Democratic Senate candidates are still alive and kicking, according to four new nonpartisan polls.

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Sen. Mark PryorMark PryorCotton pitches anti-Democrat message to SC delegation Ex-Sen. Kay Hagan joins lobby firm Top Democrats are no advocates for DC statehood MORE (D-Ark.), a top GOP target, leads Rep. Tom CottonTom CottonGOP lawmakers slam secret agreement to help lift Iran bank sanctions Opposition to Obama's radical disarmament agenda has proven effective Fears mount that Obama will change course on Israel in final months MORE (R-Ark.) by 46 percent-36 percent in a live-caller poll conducted for The New York Times and the Kaiser Family Foundation. Pryor's approval rating is at 47 percent with 38 percent disapproving, good numbers for any Democrat in a state as conservative as Arkansas.

The polls likely do not reflect what the electorate will look like this fall, however. In the Arkansas poll, for instance, fully 39 percent of those in the sample say they're paying little or no attention to the 2014 campaign, despite heavy spending on ads from both sides in the race. One-third of the registered voters surveyed in Arkansas didn't vote in 2012, a sign the poll's sample isn't reflective of what Election Day will look like. Similar problems plague the other polls.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnellMitch McConnell9/11 bill is a global blunder that will weaken US efforts abroad States urged to bolster election security How the White House got rolled on the Saudi-9/11 bill MORE (R-Ky.) is also in a dogfight, according to the poll. McConnell leads Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) by 44 percent-43 percent in the heavily Republican state. McConnell's approval rating is at 40 percent with 52 percent disapproving, though President Obama is much worse and possibly dragging Grimes down in the state — his approval rating is 32 percent.

Sen. Kay HaganKay HaganPhoto finish predicted for Trump, Clinton in North Carolina Are Senate Republicans facing an election wipeout? Clinton's lead in NC elevates Senate race MORE (D-N.C.), another top Republican target who's had millions spent against her, has narrow two-point leads over her two most likely Republican opponents. Hagan leads North Carolina House Speaker Thom Tillis (R) by 42 percent-40 percent, and she has a 41 percent-39 percent lead over Tea Party favorite Greg Brannon. Her approval rating and disapproval rating are both at 44 percent, a sign she's in a tough position heading into the fall.

Sen. Mary LandrieuMary LandrieuLouisiana needs Caroline Fayard as its new senator La. Senate contender books seven-figure ad buy Crowded field muddies polling in Louisiana Senate race MORE (D-La.) leads Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) by 42 percent-18 percent in a multi-candidate race, according to the polls. 

This post was updated at 10:50 a.m.