Senate races

Senate races

Lieberman exit likely to set off spirited primary contests

Sen. Joe Lieberman's (I-Conn.) decision not to seek reelection next year sets up another open-seat Senate contest in 2012 — one political insiders in the state expect to lead to spirited primaries on both sides of the aisle.  

Facing what would have been a tough road to another term, Lieberman is set to officially announce his decision to bow out at an event in Stamford, Conn., early Wednesday afternoon. 

It's partially a relief for Democrats, eager to move past the man who has been a perennial irritant for the party of late.

Despite caucusing with Democrats in the Senate, the gulf between Lieberman and his former party only grew following his reelection in 2006 and after he endorsed Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) for president in 2008. 

Given Connecticut's blue tinge, Democrats are hopeful Lieberman's decision paves the way for a much more reliable Democrat to capture the seat in 2012. 

Former Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz (D) has already jumped into the race, announcing her candidacy Monday, with others expected to follow. 

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Connecticut Dems weighing Senate run huddle on House floor

After Tuesday's news that Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) will not seek reelection in 2012, two House Democrats considering a run for the seat next year huddled on the House floor.  

Democratic Reps. Joe Courtney (Conn.) and Chris Murphy (Conn.) spoke for close to 15 minutes Tuesday, with both Democrats telling reporters afterwards they're still contemplating the contest. 

"It's something we're looking at and we're going to keep looking at it," Courtney told The Hill. The Democrat said he and Murphy are friends, but that ultimately his decision on whether to enter the race won't hinge on who else jumps in.  

"People are gonna do what they're gonna do, but we'll keep it civil and friendly no matter what," Courtney said, noting that with Lieberman bowing out the race, the contest is likely to attract a sizable field on both sides. 

"This is a tectonic shift in New England politics," he said. "The Senator's been part of the political landscape since the 70's." 

Murphy, who also said he's still deciding on the race, warned Democrats not to take Connecticut for granted in 2012, calling it a "purple" state. 

"A lot of Connecticut voters, especially up in my neck of the woods wind up splitting their tickets," said Murphy. Ultimately, though, the Democrat said given that it's a presidential year, he expects 2012 to be a good one for Democrats statewide. 

"If we have the right candidate on the Democratic line we will absolutely take the seat," he said. 

Lieberman will announce his decision not to seek another term Wednesday in Connecticut, a Democratic source told The Hill Tuesday. 

Former Connecticut Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz (D) has already jumped into the 2012 race.

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Tea Party activists vow for 'battle for control' of GOP in N.D.

Tea Party activists will launch a "battle for control of the party" during the North Dakota GOP Senate primary, according to a former senior official in the state Republican Party.

Sen. Kent Conrad's (D-N.D.) announcement Tuesday that he won't seek reelection is expected to touch off an intense competition to succeed him.

In a multi-person GOP field, the Tea Party-backed candidate would be favored to win the nomination, said Gary Emineth, who spent three years as chairman of the state GOP.

"I think there's going to be a battle for control of the party," he said.

North Dakota's nominating system is set up in a way that magnifies the influence of a small group of activists. There is a primary vote held in June, but the nomination is typically decided before then by delegates to the state party convention, who vote on an endorsement.

The party's backing will typically clear the field, making the primary vote merely ceremonial. A non-party endorsed candidate can still run in the primary, but is very rarely successful.

The 2012 convention starts March 30 in Bismarck. Needing only a majority of the some 2,000 convention delegates, a Tea Party-backed candidate could easily claim the party's endorsement, officials said, although they were quick to add that Tea Party support was not a litmus test for winning the nomination.

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Rep. Pomeroy doesn't rule out Senate bid

In the wake of Sen. Kent Conrad's (D-N.D.) Tuesday announcement to retire at the end of his term, former Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D-N.D.) said he has begun "a new career chapter," but declined to definitively rule out a run in 2012. 

Pomeroy, who lost his at-large congressional seat this past November to Republican Rick Berg, is already being floated by some Democratic strategists as a potential candidate for Conrad's seat.

Reached by e-mail Tuesday and asked whether he would consider a 2012 campaign, Pomeroy indicated he wasn't inclined toward a run, citing his new post at a Washington, D.C., law firm, but he said it was still too early for Senate speculation.   

"I have begun a new career chapter," Pomeroy told The Ballot Box. "Besides, this is a day to reflect on how much Kent Conrad's service has meant to North Dakota and the nation without speculating about what North Dakota will do to try and replace him."

He added: "While no one in politics is indispensable, Kent Conrad's shoes will be very hard for North Dakota to fill." 

After a string of victories in the state in 2010, Republicans see a prime pickup opportunity in 2012 with Conrad's retirement and Democrats staring down a fairly thin statewide bench.

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Connecticut Dem jumps in race for Lieberman seat

Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) has his first Democratic challenger — former state Secretary Susan Bysiewicz.

The Democrat got an early jump on 2012 Tuesday, announcing her campaign for the seat after enduring a disastrous 2010 cycle.  

"We need a Senator who is 100% focused on helping our state, and Senator Joe Lieberman has been focused on everything but Connecticut," Bysiewicz said in an e-mail announcing her 2012 plans, according to the Connecticut Mirror

The announcement from Bysiewicz places some pressure on other Democrats who have expressed interest in the contest, particularly Connecticut Reps. Joe Courtney and Chris Murphy.

Still, Bysiewicz will have plenty to prove in a Democratic primary, and her entrance into the race certainly won't clear the field. Some Democrats have expressed worry that two failed campaigns in 2010 could hamper Bysiewicz in 2012. 

After mulling a run for governor in 2010, Bysiewicz abruptly decided to run for attorney general instead. That race resulted in disaster after a court ruled that she didn't meet the state's criteria for serving as attorney general, which ended her campaign.

As the Mirror details, management questions also arose toward the end of her tenure as secretary of state. 

Lieberman has not yet announced his 2012 plans, which has some political observers in the state thinking he will opt to not seek another term in 2012. The independent senator would have to again create a party line for his candidacy to get his name back on the ballot next year. 

While unlikely, it's also possible that Lieberman could run under the banner of one of the major parties in 2012. Lieberman told The Ballot Box in December that he has received plenty of encouragement from Democratic colleagues and that he expects to make a final decision on 2012 early this year. 

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Dems up in 2012 take aim at China in new bill

In what could be seen as the latest indication China will remain a campaign issue, two Democratic senators up for reelection in 2012 have signed on to legislation aimed at halting currency manipulation.

Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey (D) and Michigan Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) announced Monday they've signed onto the Currency Exchange Oversight Reform Act, designed to push Beijing to change its monetary policy.

"We've got to take action to let the Chinese government know that we're serious," Casey told Pennsylvania reporters, according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. "We're not going to sit back and wait for some engagement to lead to a better result for American workers and the American economy. We've got to take action now."

The legislation, if passed, would direct the Treasury Department to look for "fundamental misalignment" in the value of foreign currencies, and would trigger sanctions if action isn't taken by the foreign government to correct the misalignment. The bill is directed at China, which has been criticized by lawmakers and U.S. business groups for keeping the value of its currency artificially low in order to reduce the cost of its exports to the United States and other countries.
 
The shift of manufacturing jobs away from states like Pennsylvania and Michigan is a major campaign issue. Both Democrats are expected to face tough challenges in 2012 and could be looking for a favorable issue to run on.

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Sen. Bill Nelson gets first GOP challenger

Florida state Senate President Mike Haridopolos (R) said Friday he is officially entering the 2012 race against Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson.

Haridopolos — who has long been expected to run — becomes the first Republican challenger to officially announce his campaign against Nelson, who is high on the GOP's list of vulnerable Democratic senators. 

{mosads}In a phone interview with The Hill, Haridopolos said that he initially decided to run against Nelson after former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) won his race for U.S. Senate in November, and finalized his choice after "talking with leaders across the state and ... having strong support of [those] leaders."

Nelson — a second-term senator — could face an uphill reelection battle in two years. A December poll by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling showed him with a low positive rating of 37 percent. But Nelson has polled better than GOP opponents in the past, which could make the race tough for Republicans to win.

Despite his announcement, Haridopolos indicated that he might not officially roll out his campaign until May. The state Senate leader said he was focused on closing Florida's projected $3.6 billion budget gap without raising taxes. 

Asked when he is going to make an announcement, Haridopolos said that he is, "Absolutely focused on my job as leader of the state Senate" and added he would spend the next 120 days keying in on the budget.

Taxes are likely to be a big issue on the campaign trail: Nelson, who opposed the Bush tax cuts in 2001 and 2003, voted to temporarily extend them in December after being pressured by potential Republican rivals.

Other Florida GOP heavyweights could also enter the race, including Rep. Connie Mack and former Sen. George LeMieux. Haridopolos said he would continue to meet with people across the state and would focus on his own agenda, rather than who his primary opponents may be.

"Whoever runs, they run. I am going to stay focused on what I can control," he said.

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