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  April 27, 2010, 9:30 am

Sen. Bennett sinks to third place in poll

By Aaron Blake

Another poll shows Sen. Bob Bennett (R-Utah) may have trouble making the final ballot at the state party convention.

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Archived under: Senate races, GOP primaries, Polls
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  April 27, 2010, 8:47 am

Top of the ballot: Raising Arizona, Obama hits the road and Crist's still coy on Indie bid

By Sean J. Miller

Arizona rekindles the national immigration debate, Missouri Senate candidate Robin Carnahan (D) will finally appear with President Obama and Gov. Charlie Crist (R) has three days to decided his future.

Take 'em away boys

The passage of Arizona's anti-illegal immigration law has dragged the issue of immigration reform back into the national spotlight. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (Nev.) suggested last week that he'll prioritize an immigration bill before energy reform. A best case scenario for Democrats' chances in November may be to appear to be working on the issue, while refraining from passing actual legislation.

President Obama acknowledged in a web video Monday that Latino voters were a key party of the coalition "who powered our victory in 2008," so giving them something to vote for in the midterms could help his party.

The Arizona bill may also be a wedge issue to corner Republicans on. The Florida Democratic Party sent out a release Tuesday that asked, "What do Crist and Rubio think of the AZ immigration law?" Put another way the question is, do Republicans support racial profiling? GOP candidates better get familiar with Arizona's new statute.

No longer ships in the night

Carnahan, the likely Democratic nominee for Senate in Missouri, will appear with Obama Wednesday when he stops in Macon as part of his "Main Street Tour," according to the Kansas City Star. It may be a sign that the president's numbers are improving in the Midwest. Earlier this year, Carnahan opted to be in DC for a fundraiser instead of joining Obama at an event for Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) in St. Louis.

Fancy meeting you here

Crist showed up at the ribbon cutting for a road construction project near the Miami International Airport Monday. Asked why he was at an event for a project funded by the stimulus program, Crist said: "Because it creates jobs for the people of Florida that I work for and that is first and foremost in my mind."

He maintains he hasn't made up his mind about an Independent run for Senate, but he certainly appears to be positioning himself that way. One concern, though, is would he refund the donations he received from people who thought of him as a Republican?

Crist: "You know, I think that's a decision that you have to make if you made a decision to go independent. I haven't made that decision yet."

Florida's filing deadline is Friday.

Other updates

California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) wishes he could make it a trilogy.

"I'm one of those governors that actually, you know, wouldn't mind staying in another term as governor," Schwarzenegger said Monday at a press conference in Beverly Hills with Wisconsin Gov. Jim Doyle (D) and Hawaii Gov. Linda Lingle (R)

"I totally agree what you say, Gov. Doyle, that after two terms you should get out and you should have a new breed of people come in and all that," Schwarzenegger said, according to the Sacramento Bee. "But there is also, you must admit, there's things that you see that you have started and you see movement, and all of a sudden you feel like it needs the follow through. You know, to go all the way, just like in the golf stroke, follow through, or in the tennis stroke, follow through. And now all of a sudden you're not there to follow through."

Archived under: Other races
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  April 27, 2010, 6:00 am

Giannoulias fights back from bank failure

By Sean J. Miller

His family’s bank failure could cost Illinois Senate candidate Alexi Giannoulias support from the Democratic Party and the White House.

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Archived under: Senate, Senate races
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  April 27, 2010, 6:00 am

Campaigning House Dems may have to confront ethics scandals

By Jared Allen and Susan Crabtree

House Democrats will likely have to confront a pair of ethics scandals before Election Day, despite early hopes.

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Archived under: House, House races
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  April 26, 2010, 8:11 pm

White House sharpens its focus on Nov.

By Sam Youngman

President Barack Obama shifted into campaign mode Monday.

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Archived under: Campaign, House races
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  April 26, 2010, 6:22 pm

Rove: Return Wilson, retire Spratt

By Sean J. Miller

Karl Rove urged South Carolina Republicans to reelect Rep. Joe Wilson (R-S.C.) and "retire" his Democratic colleague, Rep. John Spratt (D-S.C.).

"(Democrats) want Joe Wilson out, they know what a strong symbol he is," said Rove at the South Carolina GOP's annual Silver Elephant Dinner Saturday. "They want him out. They know what it would mean in red, red, South Carolina to get him out of here. They're trying to pull a surprise on us; let's pull one on them. Let's retire Spratt." 

Wilson gained notoriety for yelling "you lie" at President Obama during a speech to Congress in September. The 68-year-old Spratt filed in March to run for his 15th term. He won reelection in 2008 by a 25-point margin.

The Silver Elephant Dinner was a moneymaker for the South Carolina GOP. Admission to hear Rove ran at least $100, which bought a chicken dinner and "hours of speeches," according to The State. Those who paid some $1,500 got access to a private reception, a photo with Rove and an autographed copy of his book.




Archived under: House races
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  April 26, 2010, 6:12 pm

Schiff forced to return $120k in excess donations

By Aaron Blake

The Connecticut Senate campaign of investment advisor Peter Schiff (R) has refunded nearly $120,000 in contributions that exceeded campaign finance limits.

The campaign raised $563,000 in the first quarter but was forced to return $119,250.

Campaign spokeswoman Jennifer Millikin said the campaign received checks for $4,800 and incorrectly applied all of the money to the primary, rather than the maximums of $2,400 each for the primary and general elections.

"The donors didn't specify which election, but ultimately the campaign accepts responsibility for not catching the errors sooner," Millikin told The Ballot Box. "As soon as we realized the problem, the cash was returned."

The money can still be sent back to the campaign if it is designated for the general election.

Archived under: Senate races, GOP primaries, Fundraising
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  April 26, 2010, 5:31 pm

Lincoln and Halter will not 'Meet' (updated)

By Sean J. Miller

Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) turned down an offer from NBC to debate Lt. Gov. Bill Halter (D-Ark.) on "Meet the Press."

Halter, who is challenging Lincoln in the Democratic primary, had been willing to participate in the proposed May 9 debate.

Lincoln campaign spokeswoman Katie Laning Niebaum said Monday that the two-term Democrat planned to spend Mother's Day with her mother.

"It's not surprising that Bill Halter would welcome another trip to Washington since most of his support is based there," Niebaum told the Arkansas News Bureau. "However, Sen. Lincoln will not interrupt her plans to be in Arkansas with her family on Mother's Day in order to appear before a national television audience, most of whom do not vote in Arkansas."

Halter said he is willing to be flexible in order to facilitate a MTP debate. 

"We have told Meet the Press that we are available to debate Senator Lincoln any time between now and May 18th -- whether that be on a Sunday morning, or pre-taped at the Senator's convenience," he said in a statement. "We have also invited Meet the Press to come here and film a debate in Arkansas and would be proud to have them showcase our beautiful state to the entire nation."

Halter called the show a "wonderful way" for Arkansas voters to get to know the candidates. "I thoroughly enjoyed our last debate and I am looking forward to our having more of them," he said.

Halter and Lincoln had their first televised debate on Saturday in Little Rock.

(This post was updated at 6:47 p.m.)





Archived under: Senate races
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  April 26, 2010, 3:41 pm

Sen. Schumer draws a challenger

By Sean J. Miller

Sen. Chuck Schumer's (D-N.Y.) campaign warchest doesn't intimate Republican Jay Townsend.

The political consultant and Fox News commentator is set to announce his bid to unseat the two-term Democrat on Saturday, according to reports.

He'll face an uphill battle -- Schumer reported having $21.8 million cash on hand at the end of March. He raised $3 million in the first quarter.

Townsend said he will outline his plans "to reshape New York" during his press conference at Donahue Memorial Park in Cornwall-on-Hudson.

Archived under: Senate races
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  April 26, 2010, 3:27 pm

Primary costs Fisher plenty in Ohio Senate race

By Aaron Blake

Ohio Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D) has spent more than $3 million on his Senate primary with Jennifer Brunner, even as he is considered a heavy favorite.

A pre-primary financial report shows Fisher spent nearly $1 million in the first two weeks of April alone -- including $900,000 on a cable TV ad buy -- and is now down to less than $1 million cash on hand for the stretch run of the May 4 primary. Should he make it to the general election, he would face former Rep. Rob Portman (R-Ohio), who has $7.6 million in the bank and a clear primary.

Secretary of State Brunner has been meagerly funded from the start of the race and has spent considerably less -- about $800,000. She has not been able to muster any serious media presence, but she has stayed within single digits of Fisher in the polls.

Fisher had $906,000 on hand on April 14, compared to $59,000 for Brunner.

Fisher's campaign has insisted that it is expecting a close race next Tuesday, but if he doesn't easily clear the bar against Brunner, questions will be raised about his general election viability.

His first quarter fundraising number -- $551,000 -- has already been criticized, especially in comparison to the $2.3 million raised by Portman.

Archived under: Senate races, Dem primaries, Fundraising
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