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  April 8, 2010, 12:30 pm

Illinois Dem mocks Giannoulias' family business

By Sean J. Miller

Some prominent Illinois Democrats are cracking jokes at the expense of Senate nominee Alexi Giannoulias (D). 

Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan (D) made light of the financial problems at the Giannoulias family-owned Broadway Bank during a conversation with reporters Wednesday.

"I'm glad I don't have any deposits there," Madigan said, after being asked if he thought the bank's problems would hurt Giannoulias in the general.

The powerful Democrat, whose daughter was considered a potential Senate candidate, was quick to note he's still supporting Giannoulias.



"I'm supporting all the Democratic candidates," Madigan told the Chicago Tribune. "(Giannoulias) has been a successful candidate in the past. You'll recall he won a contested primary when he was elected as the treasurer."

Archived under: Senate races
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  April 8, 2010, 11:25 am

Congressman: GOP will roll out new 'Contract' as early as late summer

By Jordan Fabian

A freshman House Republican said Thursday that his party will unveil its new version of the "Contract with America" closer to the fall midterm elections , as early as the late summer. 

Rep. Aaron Schock (R-Ill.) told MSNBC that what members of his party are calling the "Commitment with America," an updated version of the document that helped propel Republicans to a surprising victory in 1994, will contain many of the same ideas as the original treatise.

"I think you're going to see a similar platform and a similar set of goals [to the "Contract"], obviously relevant to today's issues, come out at the end of this summer or early fall that many of our candidates will be running on," Schock said on MSNBC.

Efforts to create the document demonstrate the extent to which Republicans believe they could take back the House of Representatives in the fall.

House Republican Chief Deputy Whip Kevin McCarthy (Calif.), who serves as the lead drafter of the document, said last week that the Republicans would use Internet tools to help get out the "Commitment" message.

Schock said that the document would contain provisions related to small government and fiscal discipline, as the GOP plans to run primarily on the economic issues in the fall.

Cross-posted to the Briefing Room

Archived under: House races
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  April 8, 2010, 11:13 am

New Hampshire Dem primary could get heated (updated)

By Sean J. Miller

New Hampshire House candidate Katrina Swett (D) announced Thursday she raised $325,000 since launching her campaign in January.

Swett also has the advantage of starting the race with money left over from her brief 2008 Senate run. As a result, her House campaign ended the first fundraising quarter with over $1 million in the bank -- $970,000 of which is designated for the primary.

One of Swett's main rivals for the nod is attorney Ann McLane Kuster (D) who reported raising $285,000 last quarter. Her campaign trumpeted the donor support she's received in-state, noting it's gotten $475,000 of the $835,000 it's raised to date from New Hampshire donors. The Kuster camp said it's waiting for the April 15 deadline to release it's cash on hand.

New Hampshire's 2nd district is an open race -- Rep. Paul Hodes (D-N.H.) is running for Senate -- and Republican strategists are excited about the possibility of a tough Democratic primary.

"They could be short on cash and bruised afterward," said one GOP strategist on background, noting that the primary is in September. "If that causes the DCCC to swoop in and drop money, that's fine because Dems have a registration advantage here, so the fact that they have to spend here and there across the country in places where they shouldn't, can spread them thin."

This post was updated at 11:45 a.m.

Archived under: House races
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  April 8, 2010, 9:20 am

Toomey pulls ahead of Specter in new poll

By Sean J. Miller

Pennsylvania Senate candidate Pat Toomey (R) is ahead of Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.) in a new poll.

Read more...
Archived under: Senate races
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  April 8, 2010, 8:38 am

Report: Stupak has ‘every intention’ to run again

By Sean J. Miller

Rep Bart Stupak (D-Mich.) has "every intention of running" for a 10th term, according to the Detroit Free Press.

The report doesn't quote Stupak directly, and it notes the Democrat said he "hasn't made his final decision yet to run" because he needs to sit down with his family to talk about the campaign.

On Wednesday, his office declined to rule out retirement. Spokeswoman Michelle Begnoche said the congressman is evaluating his options, but that he's ready to run again if he decides to.


Archived under: House races
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  April 8, 2010, 8:13 am

Top of the ballot: Crist looks independent, Hawaii Dem touts 1st quarter cash

By Sean J. Miller

Speculation continues about whether Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) will run as an independent. Hawaii is shaping into a competitive three-way race -- House candidate Colleen Hanabusa (D) announced Thursday she raised almost $500,000 last quarter. And Ohio voters are switching parties.

NY-23 all over again

Florida observers are speculating that Crist's veto this week of a bill that would have loosened state campaign finance laws indicates he plans to run as an independent.

Republican legislators wanted to again allow the use of so-called leadership funds, which Florida banned in 1989. Crist said there was no reason to lift that ban.

"While I commend the sponsors of this bill for their effort to bring more transparency and accountability in their attempt to revive leadership funds, I reject the notion that affiliated party committees, or leadership funds, will benefit our state," Crist wrote in his veto.

The move prompted swift condemnaton -- from Republicans. "The governor is 100 percent wrong," Senate Majority Leader Alex Diaz de la Portilla (R) told reporters.

With polls showing Marco Rubio with a significant lead and the former Florida House Speaker hauling in an impressive $3.6 million last quarter, Crist may be setting himself up to run as an independent. Or so the thinking goes.

Under Florida law, Crist must declare whether he's running for the Republican nod or as an independent by the end of April.

Hanabusa's haul

The state Senate president brought in an impressive $450,000 last quarter, her campaign said Thursday. It's even more impressive with reports suggesting that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is quietly supporting former Rep. Ed Case (D).

Back to Ohio

Ohio Democrats are switching to register as Republicans, according to a Columbus Dispatch report.

In Cuyahoga County, the paper reported that the "number of Democrats switching to the GOP outnumbered Republicans becoming Democrats by nearly 7 to 1 as of Tuesday." During the 2008 primary, nearly five times as many Republicans switched to become Democrats in Cuyahoga, the state's largest county. Statewide totals weren't available and Democrats still have a large registration advantage. But it's a troubling sign in year when the environment is expected to favor the GOP.

Other updates

Aaron Blake is making the trek to the Southern Republican Leadership Conference in New Orleans Thursday. There are some notable absences from this year's event – Mitt Romney being one of them. But the conference, which is dubbed the "most prominent GOP gathering" after the party's convention, will still feature Sarah Palin, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R) and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour (R) among others. Embattled RNC Chairman Michael Steele -- whom Palin defended Wednesday -- will also be there.

Check back for updates from Aaron throughout the next three days.

Update: Pawlenty pulled out of the SRLC and will not be speaking at the event. He is, however, still listed on the website.



Archived under: Other races
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  April 7, 2010, 6:08 pm

Rep. Chaffetz predicts Sen. Bennett's early political demise

By Sean J. Miller

Bob Bennett's Senate career may be over sooner than expected, according to Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah), who has experience with embattled incumbents.

The Utah Republican must get at least 60 percent of the delegate vote at the May 8 state Republican Party convention to clinch the Senate nomination without a primary. He needs to break 40 percent to ensure he's in that primary.

"The conventional wisdom was that Bennett was at least going to get out of convention, but I think that's in serious doubt," Chaffetz told the Salt Lake Tribune Wednesday. "Go try to find a Bennett delegate. They're pretty hard to come by."

Utah's primary is June 22 -- Bennett is facing seven Republican challengers.

Chaffetz defeated then-incumbent Rep. Chris Cannon in the 2008 GOP primary. "A lot of people were very skeptical about how realistic knocking off an incumbent can be," he noted.

Archived under: Senate races
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  April 7, 2010, 4:33 pm

Support for incumbents hits record low in Gallup poll

By Jordan Fabian

A record low number of registered voters said they would vote to send most members of Congress back to Washington, according to a Gallup poll released Wednesday.

Only 28 percent said that most incumbents deserve reelection, though 49 percent said that their own members of Congress deserves another term. That number is a "near-record low."

The previous low for incumbent support for Gallup was 29 percent, back in 1992. alt

"Voters' anti-incumbent mood is like nothing Gallup has seen in the past four midterm election cycles," Gallup analysts wrote. "While that could have a negative impact on incumbents from both parties, the greater exposure of the Democrats by virtue of their majority status means greater risk for their candidates."

Democrats admit that the fall midterms will be tough, but have maintained confidence they will hold their majorities in Congress. The party has encouraged its members who supported the healthcare bill to tout their votes on the campaign trail even though it receives split support in polling.

Many Republican leaders have predicted they will win back the House and have said Democrats in tight races who voted yes for healthcare will be doomed in the fall.

The poll was taken of 968 registered voters between March 26-28, after Congress voted to pass contentious healthcare legislation.

Before healthcare passed, incumbent support also reached a new low in the CBS News/New York Times poll, with 8 percent saying they would support incumbents.

Archived under: Polls
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  April 7, 2010, 2:55 pm

Air war begins in Rep. Mollohan's district

By Aaron Blake

The GOP primary in Rep. Alan Mollohan's (D-W.Va.) district has hit the airwaves, with former state Del. David McKinley and businessman Mac Warner both launching ads.

McKinley's TV ad is a cable buy that focuses on his time as a small businessman and uses the slogan, "Had enough?"

Warner's radio ad, meanwhile, goes negative on McKinley, the national GOP favorite in the race. The ad hits McKinley for saying at a recent debate that he wouldn't read all legislation that he votes on.

Below are McKinley's ad and the script for Warner's.

Warner radio ad

Warner: I’m Mac Warner, and I approved this message.

Announcer: David McKinley wants to serve in Congress. But at a recent debate, McKinley was asked if he would promise to read bills before voting on them. His answer? No! The Wheeling newspaper reported that McKinley said you can’t always read the bills, and you have to, quote, trust your friends. Isn’t that what got us into this health care mess?

Warner: I’m Mac Warner. When I’m in Congress, I will never vote on a bill I haven’t read. That’s what you deserve, and that’s my pledge to you.

Announcer: Paid for by Mac Warner for Congress.

Archived under: House races, GOP primaries, Campaign ads
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  April 7, 2010, 2:42 pm

Sen. Vitter uses his fundraising numbers to attack Dem opponent

By Sean J. Miller

Sen. David Vitter (R-La.) used the release of his first quarter fundraising numbers Wednesday to attack his Democratic opponent.

"The incredible support I am receiving is making it more clear that Louisianians are standing with me in my fight to hold President Obama and his liberal allies like Charlie Melancon accountable," Vitter said in a statement.

Vitter raised some $1 million in the first quarter to bring his cash on hand to $5 million, which he noted was "far more" than Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) had raised by this point in 2008. That year Landrieu spent more than $10 million on her campaign.

Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-La.), who has yet to release his first quarter numbers, recently scaled back his responsibilities in the House in order to focus on his Senate campaign. He's currently on a "jambalaya and jobs tour" of north and central Louisiana. 

Archived under: House races
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