Rep. Artur Davis (D-Ala.) says about a quarter of the votes in the 2010 Alabama gubernatorial election will be determined by race.

"There's a group of voters who will vote based on race. Some are black, some are white," Davis, whose running for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, told "You add that group together and I don't think it makes up more than a quarter of the state, which leaves 75 percent black and white we have to make the case to."

Davis suggests that's not too large a proportion, but it seems like an awful lot to me. Then again, many analysts overestimated the role race would play in Barack Obama's candidacy, so maybe Davis's estimate is a bit high as well.