Congressional Campaigns

  August 27, 2009, 4:59 am

Biden wants more Kennedys in politics, maybe to fill Senate seat

By Michael O'Brien
Biden said he hoped younger Kennedys would pursue elected office when asked during an appearance on NBC this morning whether a Kennedy family member should succeed the late senator.

"They have so much talent," Biden said, referencing his having spent time with many members of the Kennedy family while attending the funeral of Eunice Kennedy Shriver. "There are some remarkable young women and men in that family who are totally, thoroughly capable of being United States Senator, and governor."

"I hope some of them decide that elected public office is a battlefield they want to compete in," the vice president added.

Many Kennedys have pursued public life, from Rep. Patrick Kennedy (D-R.I.) and onetime Maryland Lt. Gov. Kathleen Kennedy Townsend (D) to California First Lady Maria Shriver.

Some Kennedy relatives have been discussed as potential heirs to Ted Kennedy's senate seat, including his widow, Vicky, and former Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy II (D-Mass.), the senator's eldest son.
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  August 27, 2009, 4:43 am

Mass. Gov. Patrick says succesion bill likely to advance

By Michael O'Brien
The late Sen. Edward Kennedy's (D-Mass.) request to have a quick successor named to fill his Senate seat is a "reasonable request" that could make its was through the Massachusetts legislature quickly, Gov. Deval Patrick (D) said Thursday.

Patrick reiterated pledges he made Wednesday to sign a bill giving him the power to appoint an interim senator, and said he believed that state lawmakers may take up such legislation soon.

"I'm talking regularly with legislative leaders, and they're not, my sense is, in principle opposed to the idea," Patrick said during an interview on MSNBC. "There's a bill actually pending already. The thinking in the legislature is that they might take up the bill sooner" than had been thought, he added.

The proposal would reverse a 2004 law put in place by Democrats in the state house during the presidential election, fearing that then-Gov. Mitt Romney (R) would appoint a GOP candidate to replace Sen. John Kerry (D) in the Senate, should Kerry have won the presidency.

Patrick pointed out that he wasn't then in office, but that the bill to give him the power to appoint an interim senator between Kennedy's death and a special election was reasonable.

"I think it's a very reasonable request, and it was so like Sen. Kennedy to look ahead and around the corner," he said.. "Given the significance of the proposals before the Congress right now, I think it's important to have two senators."
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  August 26, 2009, 11:35 am

State legislator to give Rep. Don Young another battle

By Aaron Blake
Alaska state Rep. Harry Crawford (D) will challenge Rep. Don Young (R-Alaska) in 2010, giving the embattled incumbent his second-straight quality opponent.

"It's time for our state to have a member of Congress who offers fresh ideas backed by new energy and enthusiasm," Crawford said in a statement. "Whether it's strengthening our economy ... or getting Alaska's energy resources to market, I'm committed to finding solutions that make sense for Alaska."

Young has already announced his reelection bid. He narrowly defeated now-Gov. Sean Parnell (R) and former state Rep. Ethan Berkowitz (D) last year in the primary and general elections, respectively. But ethical issues continue to dog him, and he saw longtime Sen. Ted Stevens (R-Alaska) go down alongside him last year thanks to similar issues.

Crawford has met with leaders from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC). And he is a giant-killer; he won his seat in the state legislature in 2000, when he defeated powerful Republican leader Ramona Barnes by less than 100 votes.
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  August 26, 2009, 11:21 am

Retired colonel is Rep. Kissell's first opponent

By Aaron Blake
Retired Army Col. Lou Huddleston (R) announced Wednesday that he would run against Rep. Larry Kissell (D-N.C.) in 2010.

"Since Larry Kissell has gone to Washington, things have gotten worse, not better," Huddleston said in a statement. "The citizens of the 8th congressional district deserve a principled leader who represents them, not a yes man for the out-of-touch politicians in Washington."

First, the good: Huddleston is a black Republican with a solid resume in a district that is 27 percent black. If he can steal some of that demographic from Kissell, he'll have a real good shot in a swing district.

The bad: Huddleston lost by a big margin in a state House campaign last year, 62-38, against an incumbent Democrat.

National Republicans view Huddleston as a promising candidate, but he isn't a field-clearer, so it will be interesting to see who else gets in this race after former Rep. Robin Hayes (R-N.C.) said last week that he wouldn't seek his old seat.

Hayes has offered Huddleston some praise, but others, including Union County District Attorney John Snyder, have also shown some interest in the race.

Tennessee Valley Authority official Linwood Faulk recently announced that he would not run for the seat and would support Huddleston.
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  August 26, 2009, 11:08 am

GOP candidate demands Dodd reject HELP chairmanship

By Michael O'Brien
One of Sen. Chris Dodd's (D-Conn.) potential Republican opponents next fall is calling on Dodd to reject the permanent chairmanship of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP) committee.

Dodd had managed the HELP committee in the absence of Sen. Edward Kennedy (D-Mass.), who passed away late Tuesday night, in addition to his responsibilities as chairman of the Senate Banking Committee.

Republican state Sen. Sam Caligiuri, a GOP primary candidate to face off against Dodd, demanded the incumbent Democrat reject taking over the HELP committee.

"I am calling on Senator Dodd to decline the position of the HELP Committee Chairman, if it is offered to him," Caligiuri said in a statement. "He should be finishing the job he has barely started of fixing the financial sector problems that got us into this economic disaster in the first place, and not spending his time promoting ill advised health care legislation."

Dodd said earlier today in a teleconference that he wasn't sure what his status with the committee would be going forward, and that it would take a few weeks to sort it out.

"Only in Washington would someone who failed miserably at one crucial job be considered for taking the reins on another important front," Caligiuri said. "In typical DC fashion, Senator Dodd is all politics all the time, hoping to secure this new post to dust his past failures under the rug and forge ahead with yet more bad legislation."
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  August 26, 2009, 10:39 am

Campaign Update: Schumer's dis, another Ill. Senate candidate

By Aaron Blake


Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-N.D.) is up with an ad before he even has an opponent for 2010. The ad talks about Dorgan's work on energy issues, but the real message is: "Hey, Gov. Hoeven, I'm ready for you, so you had better think twice before entering this race."

A new Republican poll shows state Attorney General Bill McCollum (R) building a double-digit lead over state Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink (D), 48-37. This is the second GOP poll this month to show McCollum opening up a big lead.

In the latest sign that she's planning to resign, Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-Texas) has put her Virginia house on the market. It doesn't necessarily mean anything on it's own, but it's part of a growing puzzle.

Sen. Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) didn't exactly do the Democratic nominee in the upcoming New York special election a favor by reminiscing about state Sen. Darrel Aubertine's (D) would-have-been candidacy. What's troubling here is that Schumer is one of the sharpest political talkers in the biz, so it's just too tempting to read into his words. I think it's a reasonable question to start asking just how hard Democrats are going to push in this race, especially given that they aren't defending a seat, as they were in the other special election in the Empire State. With the national environment turning on them a bit, they could certainly save some face by not even trying. Perhaps the former DSCC chairman is hinting at this? (Note: pure speculation)

Place your bets! Gov. Charlie Crist (R) aims to appoint a replacement for Sen. Mel Martinez (R-Fla.) by the end of this week. Two current House members have pulled their names from the running, and this is sure to be a placeholder pick (given that Crist himself is running for the seat in 2010). So as far as Washington goes, there probably won't be any dominoes, and we're pretty much waiting for the next Ted Kaufman.

Chicago Inspector General David Hoffman adds his name to the Democratic Senate primary in Illinois, joining state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias and Chicago Urban League President Cheryle Jackson. Having another Chicago-based, second-tier candidate should help Giannoulias by diluting the anti-frontrunner vote and splitting Chicago, but Hoffman's corruption-buster reputation could also draw attention to some of the less attractive aspects of the Giannoulias candidacy. Whatever the case, Hoffman has been good at upsetting the Daley machine, so he's got plenty of enemies in this Senate primary.
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  August 26, 2009, 9:00 am

Poll shows Sen. Lincoln in serious reelection trouble

By Aaron Blake
It might be time to start looking at Arkansas as a marquee Senate state in 2010.

According to a new survey from Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling, Sen. Blanche Lincoln's (D-Ark.) net approval rating has dropped by double digits in the last five months, to below 40 percent approval, and she is virtually tied with three Republicans - all of whom have favorability numbers in the single digits.

The state is shaping up similar to Nevada, where a series of unknown Republicans are already polling competitive with - or leading - Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.).

The different between the two is that Reid has long been unpopular in his home state, while Lincoln still had a net positive approval rating in March (45 percent positive/40 percent negative, according to PPP).

But that was five months ago. Thanks to Democratic initiatives and the very conservative nature of the state, Lincoln's approval is now 36 percent positive and 44 percent negative.

She polls at 40 percent in three potential general election matchups, trailing state Sen. Gilbert Baker and businessman Curtis Coleman by 2 percent and 1 percent, respectively, and leading attorney and Iraq/Afghanistan veteran Tom Cotton by 1 percent.

In other words, Republicans might not need a big-name candidate. And that's good for them, because they're not getting one.

The most interesting part of the poll might be the fact that Lincoln is viewed favorably by just 62 percent of Democrats. Basically, conservative Democrats who could hold their nose before are now getting a taste of the more liberal element of the party's leadership, and they don't like it.

Lincoln's numbers track closely with Obama's, and something tells me his fate could be hers.
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  August 26, 2009, 7:56 am

South Carolina LG to call for Sanford to resign

By Aaron Blake
South Carolina Lt. Gov. Andre Bauer (R) is set to hold a press conference in a few minutes, and his office is saying he will call for Gov. Mark Sanford (R) to resign.

From the AP:
A spokesman says South Carolina's lieutenant governor will call for embattled Gov. Mark Sanford to step down.

Communications director Frank Adams says Andre Bauer will call on Sanford to resign at a news conference Wednesday. If he does, Bauer will renew his offer to stay out of the 2010 gubernatorial race and instead fill the remainder of his fellow Republican's term, which ends in January 2011.

Sanford has come under scrutiny since his June admission of an affair with an Argentine woman, and Bauer is the most prominent Republican to call for his resignation. Sanford's spokesman did not return a call for comment, but the governor has said he does not plan to resign.

Associated Press investigations have raised questions about the legality of Sanford's travel.
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  August 26, 2009, 2:35 am

Questions linger over Kennedy succession

By Michael O'Brien
Hours after Sen. Edward Kennedy's (D-Mass.) passing from brain cancer at the age of 77, questions abound over who will succeed him, and how long that succession will take.

Massachusetts state law mandates that a special election be held to fill the vacant seat within 145 to 160 days of when the seat becomes vacant, placing the date of a potential special election between January 18, 2010 and February 2, 2010.

But with landmark healthcare legislation -- the trademark political issue of the late senator's lifetime -- in the balance in the Senate, Kennedy wrote Massachusetts lawmakers in recent weeks, urging them to reverse a 2004 law stripping the governor of the ability to appoint a nominee to succeed him quickly in the case of a vacancy.

"I therefore am writing to urge you to work together to amend the law through the normal legislative process to provide for a temporary gubernatorial appointment until the special election occurs," Kennedy wrote to Massachusetts lawmakers and top political officials in the state. Kennedy wanted the governor to be able to appoint a nominee, with the condition that any successor would give a personal commitment to not seek reelection in the following cycle.

The 2004 law was put in place by Democratic lawmakers in the statehouse in order to block then-Gov. Mitt Romney (R) from appointing a Republican successor to Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.), should Kerry have won the presidential election that year.

It's unclear whether or not state lawmakers could change the law after Kennedy's passing to allow Gov. Deval Patrick (D), a relatively unpopular incumbent, from appointing a senator.

Due to the long incumbencies of Kennedy and Kerry, the state of Massachusetts has not gone through a special election to fill a Senate vacancy since Kennedy himself was elected. Kennedy was elected in a November 1962 special election in a race to fill the vacancy left by his brother, President John F. Kennedy, who was elected president.

The current vacancy weighs on the prospects for healthcare legislation and a number of other legislative priorities for Democrats in the upper house. But some whip counts have long counted Kennedy -- along with another ailing Senate veteran, Robert Byrd (D-W.Va.) -- as unable to vote, leaving congressional Democrats short of the 60 votes needed to break a filibuster, but prepared for the prospect of lawmaking in Kennedy's absence.
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  August 25, 2009, 10:39 am

Cantor: GOP poised to take back the House

By Michael O'Brien
Republicans are have a "very good chance" of taking back control of the House of Representatives in the 2010 midterm elections, House Minority Whip Eric Cantor (R-Va.) said this week.

Cantor said concerns about Democratic control of the White House and both houses of Congress have driven Americans to increasingly back GOP candidates.

"The country feels better when there's a check and a balance," Cantor said in an interview with the conservative PajamasTV website. "That's why I think the Republicans in the House are poised to have a very good chance of taking back the House. It's the only chance to provide that check and balance."

Political prognosticators have forecast likely Republican gains in 2010, though few have predicted the Republicans picking up the 40 or more House seats necessary to wrest control from Democrats, who have been in charge since the 2006 elections.

"We have unfettered one-party rule. And part of what we're seeing...is people are tired of the status quo and business as usual," Cantor said. "People don't want an unbalanced approach."

The Virginia Republican said that Hollywood, usually considered a reliable Democratic base, could be an ally in rebuilding a Republican majority.

"It's still easier to run against Hollywood as a Republican, because the image is out there that everyone is to the left of the left here," Cantor explained. "But I know there are plenty of friends here, which is why we try and come here and say, 'Listen, we need your help.'"
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