By John Steinbruner PhD, professor of Public Policy and director, International Security Studies at University of Maryland
The principal U.S. government entity seized with the matter – the U.S. National Security Advisory Board for Biosecurity (NSABB) – initially attempted to remove details from published reports of the experiments that they imagined would prevent replication. They then abandoned that effort and have now indicated they will initiate a process to draft global guidelines for conducting and disseminating research on dangerous pathogens. That step, which they had previously resisted, implicitly concedes that the U.S. alone cannot exercise comprehensive jurisdiction.
At the moment some prudential oversight of highly consequential biological research is being practiced in some countries, but prevailing procedures are largely voluntary in character, are not consistently applied and do not have global scope. A more effective arrangement would have to be mandatory and would have to be based on the principle of independent oversight applied to other matters of great consequence. Those who handle large sums of money are subjected to audit. No single individual is ever allowed exclusive control of a nuclear weapon.
The impediments to such an arrangement are largely matters of attitude, but they are formidable indeed. A few of the leading research scientists see the situation and understand the implications, but most are categorically opposed to any mandatory intrusion into basic research. Their resistance is reinforced by broadly pervasive anti-regulation ideology.
Presumptions of antagonistic interest make any international coordination difficult to accomplish and pose a danger of competitive national biological weapons development programs, so far largely unrealized but not reliably prevented.
Nonetheless it is prudent to assume that protective regulation will ultimately have to be imposed. Whether comprehension evolves naturally or is forced by disaster, mandatory oversight will eventually be indispensable. The sooner and the more gracefully that is realized the better off we all will be.
John Steinbruner is Director of the Center for International Security Studies at Maryland, co-author of a research monograph Controlling Dangerous Pathogens, and author of a recent novel, The Secular Monastery.