NOT QUITE ‘MORNING IN AMERICA,’ BUT...
With Congress set to get back to work Monday, there are signs that the Democrat-led Congress might be able to get something done before the election and that the economy won’t double-dip.
WaPo Scoop: Sen. George Voinovich (R-Ohio) to provide likely 60th vote for Dems’ small-business bill next week. Lori Montgomery reports that the retiring senator “could no longer support Republican efforts to delay the measure in hopes of winning the right to offer additional amendments. Most of the proposed GOP amendments ‘didn't have anything to do with the bill’ anyway, Voinovich said, and amounted merely to partisan ‘messaging.’ ... ‘We don't have time for messaging,’ Voinovich said. ‘We don't have time anymore. This country is really hurting.’ ” http://bit.ly/9T5zgU
Also noteworthy: Voinovich said he wants to work with President Obama on a new six-year highway bill, which the administration called for this week.
September is looking far better than feared, now that the odds of another recession are receding, writes the WSJ’s Kelly Evans. http://bit.ly/dxK4r4
Weekly jobless claims hit a two-month low and the trade gap shrank, boosting markets Thursday. Reuters went with the headline 'Data shows economic recovery still on track.' http://yhoo.it/bPai1I
But... consumer spending dipped in August. Gallup: http://bit.ly/cZxgjo
And... job creation is still a problem, thanks in part to unusually high productivity, argues Fed senior economist Kenneth R. Beauchemin. The Atlantic: http://bit.ly/cCZ74Q
U.S. = JAPAN OR U.K.?
Paul Krugman says we’d be lucky to have Japan’s depressed-but-not depression economy, and we’ll surely be worse if the GOP takes over. “So I find myself almost envying the Japanese. Yes, their performance has been disappointing. But things could have been worse. And the case Democrats now need to make — the case the president finally began to make in Cleveland this week — is that if Republicans regain power, things will indeed be worse. Americans, understandably, are disappointed over, frustrated with and angry about the state of the economy; but disappointment is better than disaster.” http://nyti.ms/dh9EYm
COUNTERPOINT: The Economist’s economics editor Greg Ip says the U.S. is like Japan, but not really. Unlike its 1980s rival, the United States is comfortable with creative destruction. http://bit.ly/bt9IfH
David Brooks says our problem is that we’re becoming too soft: “If you look at America from this perspective, you do see something akin to the ‘British disease.’ After decades of affluence, the U.S. has drifted away from the hardheaded practical mentality that built the nation’s wealth in the first place.” http://nyti.ms/bUukil
Goolsbee to be nominated to be chairman of WH Council of Economic Advisers. He’d replace Christina Romer. http://nyti.ms/aFEPtt
Speaking of... Goolsbee was against the investment tax credits that President Obama is now pushing. JW Mason: http://bit.ly/d6sYwg
Megan McArdle takes Goolsbee’s argument to be yet another reason to oppose those credits as stimulus. http://bit.ly/93m16N
TAX CUTS UPDATE
Momentum builds for extending all of the Bush cuts, at least temporarily. The Hill: http://bit.ly/97Rc5d
The latest from Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.): "I support extending all of the expiring tax cuts until Nebraska’s and the nation’s economy is in better shape, and perhaps longer, because raising taxes in a weak economy could impair recovery.”
The RNC’s list of Dems for an extension of all the cuts: Sens. Nelson, Kent Conrad (N.D.), Evan Bayh (Ind.), Joe Lieberman (Conn.), an independent who caucuses with the Democrats; Reps. Gary Peters (Mich.), Gerry Connolly (Va.), Mike McMahon (N.Y.), Bobby Bright (Ala.), Ron Klein (Fla.), Jim Himes (Conn.), Harry Mitchell (Ariz.); Florida gubernatorial candidate Alex Sink; and Missouri Senate candidate Robin Carnahan. (h/t Katie Wright)
Boehner offers “the Orszag compromise” to Dems: a temporary two-year extension of all the cuts. http://bit.ly/cEnPsR
Ezra Klein says if they’re extended just for two years, Republicans will be able to campaign on another extension in 2012. http://bit.ly/b4P9Lj
Bruce Bartlett says the sky won’t fall — and revenue will increase — if the top tax rate is allowed to rise to 39.6 percent. http://bit.ly/aCwIfZ
NYT profiles White House manufacturing czar Ron Bloom, who is trying to craft a policy to boost exports. The story includes a number of Ohio executives calling for more U.S. government intervention in markets, but Bloom is reluctant. “It is not government’s role to direct banks to lend to particular companies or industries,” he says. http://nyti.ms/dDaWSh
Capitol Hill employees owed $9.3 million in back taxes last year. WaPo: http://bit.ly/aL0GT9
Does Congress really need that many staffers? Cato asks: http://bit.ly/9bQGcn
But... government employment since 1976 has decreased. Calculated Risk. http://bit.ly/cVJEPm
Yet another Obama v. Paul Ryan write-up, this one by Jerry Seib. Takeaway: Ryan likes the business tax credits the president is pushing but vehemently opposes any rollback of the Bush-era tax cuts. http://bit.ly/cfj8mf
Budget impact story of the day: “Budget Woes Hit Defense Lawyers for the Indigent” http://nyti.ms/d9jO4k. “What you have is a situation where the eligible pool of clients is increasing, crime rates are potentially increasing, while the resources often for public defenders are going down.”
Around the World
U.S. wants developing economies (read: not Europe) to have more clout at the International Monetary Fund. http://nyti.ms/aC02ry
United Steelworkers files complaint with the U.S. Trade Representative against China, charging its government with unfairly subsidizing the Chinese green technology industry. http://bit.ly/dw95fK
Even Fidel Castro is talking up capitalism, notes Al Kamen. http://bit.ly/dkoovI