The risk of a debt crisis
along the lines of the kind being experienced in Europe will increase as long
as the debt increases, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said
Tuesday.
The CBO said in a new report
that while it was impossible to predict whether the United States would
encounter a debt crisis like those plaguing some European nations, the longer
debts and deficits go unaddressed, the greater the risk of a crisis.
“Unfortunately, there is no way
to predict with any confidence whether and when such a crisis might occur in
the United States; in particular, there is no identifiable tipping point of
debt relative to GDP indicating that a crisis is likely or imminent.” a new CBO report
said. “But all else being equal, the higher the debt, the
greater the risk of such a crisis.”
The CBO’s warning comes less
than 100 days before congressional elections in which the growing debt and
deficits are a larger consideration for voters. A number of Republican
lawmakers and candidates for office have warned of a second financial crisis
spurred by debt, likening the situation in the U.S. to the situation facing Greece.
Those nations have had to
embark on aggressive austerity packages to get their debt under control after
several European Union members struggled with their debt levels, a development
that weakened the Euro.
The options in the U.S. to
address such a crisis would be “limited and unattractive,” CBO Director Douglas
Elmendorf wrote. Those options include changing the terms of the debt,
inflating the dollar and adopting an austerity package like those sought in Europe.
Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) endorsed on
Tuesday the cuts sought by British Prime Minister David Cameron in
that nation’s austerity package.
“That’s the way that we need
to do it,” McCain said of the British example on KFNN radio in Arizona. “Cut
spending, cut the size of government.”
McCain did not address the
tax increases that were part of Cameron’s package, though President Obama’s
fiscal commission may do so when it issues its report in December.
House and Senate leaders have promised an up-or-down vote on
whatever recommendations the commission makes to address the long-term debt.
Cross-posted from Blog Briefing Room.