On the Obama front: The more President Obama talks and opines and appears to be continuing his campaigning without action, the more voters just tune him out. There was something discordant about Obama discussing war and peace with Jay Leno.

There is something other-worldly about Obama giving grand speeches without the great battles and without the nuts and bolts of working to get things done in Washington. The danger for Obama is not that his numbers go down, it is that voters just stop listening to him.

Obama may be the least existential politician in my lifetime. He needs to be more existential, meaning he needs actions that give substance to his words. Cruz and Paul have a similar problem. They talk too much, say the wrong things, fall far out of the mainstream of America, and are too existential.

The more they do, the more unpopular they become outside the right wing cults. The more Christie attacks them, the stronger Christie becomes. Oh my, the battle between Christie and the right will be nasty before it is done.

The most interesting development ignored by the political media is the continuing rise of Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenCures bill clears first Senate hurdle House GOP to unveil short-term funding bill Tuesday Juan Williams: McConnell won big by blocking Obama MORE (D-Mass.). One recent poll ranked "hot" (in other words hotly supported) national leaders. Christie came in first. Hillary ClintonHillary Rodham ClintonTop Dem super PAC launches anti-Trump war room Omarosa: Trump will help women 'shatter the glass ceiling' Flynn's son 'is no longer involved in transition efforts' MORE came in second. Warren came in a strong and surprising third.

Polls are starting to show that if Clinton does not run in 2016, Elizabeth Warren could fast become the new Democratic front-runner. That's good news for the right, sort of. 

Chris Matthews has now proclaimed that Paul will be the GOP nominee in 2016. To add clout to his call, Matthews said something like "And I am in this business!!" For those of you who believe that Chris is the fountain of wisdom, go the Vegas and put your Paul bets on the table. 

But be warned: I will be on the other side of the bet.