This will be obvious before Congress returns from the August recess and will be formally decided within days of Congress returning, possibly hours. 

Sen. Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioOvernight Defense: Tillerson, Trump deny report of rift | Tillerson says he never considered resigning | Trump expresses 'total confidence' in secretary | Rubio asks Army to kick out West Point grad Rubio asks Army to kick out West Point grad with pro-communist posts GOP establishment doubts Bannon’s primary powers MORE (R-Fla.), by supporting the shutdown, has chosen the wrong limb to climb out on. This limb will soon be cut off. Behind the scenes, Democrats are ecstatic that Cruz and Rubio and the right wing of House Republicans are pushing the shutdown. In truth they privately worry about the politics of healthcare, but are overjoyed with the Republican overreach that will help Obama the same way a previous shutdown play helped President Clinton against the hapless Newt Gingrich in the 1990s. 

Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzWhatever you think the Alabama special election means, you’re probably wrong This week: Congress gets ball rolling on tax reform Week ahead: Senators work toward deal to fix ObamaCare markets MORE parades across Iowa seeking to lead the extremist wing of Republicans. Democrats love this. 

Rick Santorum joins the presidential fray yet again. Democrats love this, too. 

What better way to prove to voters that the GOP war against women continues. Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpIvanka Trump pens op-ed on kindergartners learning tech Bharara, Yates tamp down expectations Mueller will bring criminal charges Overnight Cybersecurity: Equifax security employee left after breach | Lawmakers float bill to reform warrantless surveillance | Intel leaders keeping collusion probe open MORE returns to center stage in GOP national politics and Democrats are happier than the winner of the $400 million lottery! In the meantime, the government shutdown idea is dead. 

Put a fork in it.