I was working out at the gym this morning (I know, miracles never cease), and I looked over briefly (I know, you don’t believe me) at the television and saw one of the hosts interviewing Rachel Maddow.

I am not the biggest Rachel Maddow fan in the world (OK, I am not really a fan at all) and I immediately assumed that the topic of conversation was on the president’s decision on “Don’t ask, don’t tell,” an issue that apparently is important to the MSNBC host. 

According to the headline blaring at the bottom of the television screen, though, it was “Is Obama losing his base?”

Interesting question, given that the previous day, the president struck a blow for some of his most passionate supporters by going through with change in a longstanding military policy.   

I would make this observation.  

The president is not losing his base (if that is true) because he is moving to the middle. He is losing his base for largely the same reasons that he is losing the middle and the rest of the country.

Sheer incompetence.  

Let me explain. The president’s policies are not working. We are going broke spending money we don’t have on programs that don’t work. The unemployment rate is still terrible. Economic growth is terrible. Consumer confidence is terrible.

The Obama administration is going out of its way to destroy jobs with silly and stupid regulatory actions. ObamaCare scares the hell out of small-business owners. The NLRB is actively trying to stop the construction of a new airplane manufacturing plant in South Carolina. The Obama Justice Department is closing down a Gibson Guitar manufacturing company because of a stupid EPA rule.

The liberal base is made up largely of three groups: African-American voters; female voters (in particular single women); and rich people.  

What has Obama done for these three groups? Unemployment in black America is at record highs, a fact that Obama never talks about, ever. A new book from Ron Suskind details how the Obama administration really feels about the ladies. And Obama spends every speech talking about how evil rich people are.  

No wonder he is losing his base.  

A new poll just came out that showed Sarah Palin is just five points behind Barack ObamaBarack Hussein ObamaThe true commander in tweet Meghan Markle's pre-royal 'finishing lessons' and an etiquette of equality Hannity on Acosta claim he was tough on Obama: 'Only thing missing were the pom-poms' MORE if she chose to run for president.

Sarah Palin?

Other polls show that just about any of the announced Republicans would beat Obama right now, including Ron Paul.  

The president probably thinks that everything is going to go all right, and maybe that is true. Maybe the economy will come storming back and maybe people will start listening to Mr. Obama, after largely tuning him out for the last year and a half.  

Maybe. But I doubt it.

I still think there is a possibility that the president will face a serious challenge from a serious challenger in his own party. His incompetence will catch up to him sooner rather than later.