The reelection of Scott Brown in Massachusetts would be a landmark
event. It would indicate that Massachusetts had passed its post-liberal
period and is coming back to national relevance. A Suffolk University
poll gives Brown a lead of nine over Elizabeth Warren, the best proxy
candidate in an Obama referendum. This is bad news for President Obama.
Intrade has Obama ahead at 60 percent, which might be a better indicator
than fickle national polls, which have him under 50. But that liberal
Massachusetts continues with Brown a second time is a good indicator
that we, the most entrenched of liberals, have reached a sea change and
the Romney tide will rise on Super Tuesday.
A New York Times column yesterday and my column here claimed the GOP was dying, which it is. But Romney will bring it back to life. He will make it a new party. It is what he does and has always done. “The last gasp of the GOP?” the Times asked, and insinuated that it was. But I recall asking the exact same question in a graduate class during the Jimmy Carter administration. It should be said by now that Obama is no Jimmy Carter. First off, he gets his man and the assassination of Osama bin Laden was a stunning piece of work by all involved, especially Obama.
The failure of Carter to get reelected was not policy related. It was temperament related and in that way Carter does compare with Obama. Personally, Carter was interesting and personable and so is Obama. They brought us a break at the end of stressful historic times. But after we have had our rest we return to management indicators on the resume: Nixon after Kennedy, Reagan after Carter, Romney after Obama. Rest period is over and Romney’s era starts today. One, in my opinion, in which America will prosper and the American West will rise in influence.