It’s pretty amazing that Mitt Romney is now in first place in Florida, according to the Rasmussen poll, despite John McCainJohn Sidney McCainSenate's defense authorization would set cyber doctrine Senate Dems hold floor talk-a-thon against latest ObamaCare repeal bill Overnight Defense: Senate passes 0B defense bill | 3,000 US troops heading to Afghanistan | Two more Navy officials fired over ship collisions MORE's victory in South Carolina. It shows that he was able to merchandize his uncontested victory in Nevada as a win and get momentum from it.

The real lesson of South Carolina is that Romney cannot compete in the South. If he is able to come back in Florida, despite this showing, it will be truly amazing. It is one thing for him to win in highly Mormon Nevada and his native state of Michigan, but a win in Florida would be incredible.

Otherwise, McCain seems bound for a win in Florida. His South Carolina victory especially hurts Rudy Giuliani since it gives his chief rival momentum heading into Florida.