Rudy Beats Hillary

I was watching Fox News at 10 last night, when they presented an interesting Fox Dynamics Poll. If the election were held today, the poll concluded, Rudy Giuliani would beat Hillary Clinton 47-45, with 13 percent undecided.

Talk about campaign themes. "Rudy Beats Hillary" should be on bumper stickers all across the country.

I can’t think of any other national Republican beating a leading Democratic candidate in any poll.

Given the state of the Republican Party brand, this is great news for Republican stalwarts.

The other day, I was talking to a Republican member of Congress from New York who narrowly won reelection. He said that having Rudy on the ballot helps him add 5 to 10 points to his vote total, and gives Republicans a great shot of taking back the seats Sue Kelly and John Sweeney lost in the 2006 midterms.

In the Northeast and in the Upper Midwest, a Giuliani candidacy gets Republicans back in the ballgame. And if Hillary is on the ballot, it is highly unlikely that the South would turn Democratic.

I get a kick out of talking to some of my Democratic friends about the Giuliani campaign. They are quick to point out how they don’t think Rudy could win the Republican primary. How many times have analysts like Norm Ornstein and Stu Rothenberg written that Rudy Giuliani couldn’t possibly win the Republican primary?

Democratic analysts are spinning so hard that Rudy can’t possibly win the primary because he is their worst fear. Rudy beats Hillary.

With the poll ratings of the Democratic Congress reaching a 20-year low, according to a report on CNN, it is not inconceivable that the House could turn back to the GOP.  After all, about a dozen seats were basically given to the Democrats by late-breaking scandals in the last election. And the production of the new majority has been meager at best.

But to roll the tide back, a couple of other things need to happen.

First, there needs to be a big change in the Iraq dynamic in September. A major redeployment, a strategic retreat, a fully functioning Iraq government — I don’t care what it is, but something big needs to happen to change the current situation.

Second, the GOP needs to nominate a standard-bearer who can compete in all regions of the country, and who can beat Hillary.

Rudy could be that standard-bearer. After all, Rudy Beats Hillary.