Presidential Campaign

Presidential Campaign

Obama vs. Clinton on Electability, Part II

Newest Pew Data Proves Obama Vulnerability
Against Sen. McCain Compared to Sen. Clinton


Clinton ‘Ringing Phone’ Ad Similar to Mondale's in 1984 —
Reflects, Doesn't Invent, Democratic Voter Concerns Already Seen in Data



Several days ago I posted a blog citing Gallup and USA Today data showing that Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) are virtually tied in a race against Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) — despite huge misimpressions, held by most primary-voting Democrats and the media covering the campaign, that Sen. Obama is far stronger in the general election. Now comes the most recent national all-voters poll (Feb. 20-24) from the highly regarded, nonpartisan Pew Research Center confirming that the two lead with about the same narrow margin over Sen. McCain.
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'This is a White House Recording'

About Hillary's TV ad: "It's 3 a.m. and your children are safe and asleep. But there's a phone in the White House and it's ringing. Something's happening in the world. Your vote will decide who answers that call."

Given how strapped the federal government is these days, wouldn't it be a good idea to save some money by replacing the operators with a telephone Audix system at the White House? At least for use overnight?
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McCain: Up Against It

It isn't easy being a nominee; just ask John McCain, who yesterday referred to himself as a "liberal Republican" and had to quiet the dissenting voice inside him before a gathered crowd on the campaign trail. "Easy there," he told himself with a chuckle.

It wasn't easy earlier this week when radio host Bill Cunningham went off on Barack Obama and McCain felt obligated to rush out a blanket apology covering any offense to both Obama AND Hillary Clinton.
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The Catholic Vote and John McCain

“Most readers will be shocked by the clear record of history linking Adolf Hitler and the Roman Catholic Church in a conspiracy to exterminate the Jews.”

Guess who said that?

The guy who endorsed John McCain on the same day that William Buckley, the founder of the modern conservative movement and a devout Catholic, died.

John Hagee is an anti-Catholic bigot. He likes to the call the Catholic Church “the Great Whore.” Nice.

John McCain doesn’t need Hagee’s support.
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Does Hillary Want Democrats to Lose in November?

Behind the scenes there are some Democrats becoming concerned that Hillary Clinton is pursuing a wrecking ball strategy in which she knows she will not defeat Barack Obama for the nomination, but will escalate personal attacks in the hope Obama loses in November, so Hillary can run in 2012.

This is not a widespread view, and I am not suggesting it is true, but there are some who are worried about this, which is one reason superdelegates could move en masse to Obama, very quickly.

Hillary Clinton must be very careful. This view will not in the end defeat Obama, but it could do major long-term damage to both Clintons.
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The Experience Factor as a Political Tool

I’m sitting here gingerly thumbing through some old magazines and I come across a cover story entitled, “Up in the Air, the Game after New Hampshire,” where Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) and Barack Obama (D-Ill.) are respective cards in a deck to intimate the game of chance that still existed at the time of the publication. By the way, the publication date was Jan. 18! You heard right, barely a month ago and Hillary was still a tour de force in the Democrat primary. Her secret weapon? She thrived on the “experience matters” mantra, and it was working. How do I know? Everywhere I went, the rank-and-file Democrats I spoke with would cite that they liked Obama, but that a commander in chief needed the experience Sen. Clinton brought to the table.
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Scribble Quibble

You can talk about tax records and archival material that we want the candidates to disclose, but there are much more important documents that America must see right away.

Sens. Clinton and Obama must IMMEDIATELY release the notebooks they've used during their debates.

And Barack and Hillary, don't you dare pretend you don't know what I'm talking about. Each time one of you goes into a rant, the other stares (or glares) as long as possible and then puts something down on his or her legal pad. The voters have an urgent need to see what you've written.
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Obama Runs Well Ahead of Clinton Against McCain

In poll after poll, Barack Obama runs well ahead of Hillary Clinton in races against McCain. I give my brother Lanny Davis credit for creative spin; I am laughing as I write this. If victory has a hundred fathers, and defeat is an orphan, desperation breeds delusion.

Everyone is invited to check pollster.com and realclearpolitics.com and judge for yourselves based on the facts of the matter as proven by the numbers.
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Recent Polling Data Show Serious Concerns About Sen. Obama's 'Electability' Over Sen. McCain vs. Sen. Clinton's

I know that Sen. Obama is the front-runner. But I remain concerned about his electability. I find him inspirational, attractive, articulate and very intelligent. He has run an outstanding campaign. Close friends are ardently for him. I like him.

But recent polling data confirms for me, despite all the horde of punditry proclaiming him a "phenom" with stronger general electorate appeal than Sen. Clinton, that Sen. Obama is very vulnerable in the general election and less likely to defeat Sen. McCain than Sen. Clinton. And so to all Democrats – especially those in Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania – I offer these facts and these arguments to take another look before you believe Sen. Obama is the stronger general election candidate.
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