Presidential Campaign

Presidential Campaign

Obama Makes it Eight in a Row

You gotta admit, the guy’s on a roll. Chalk up three more wins for Barack Obama: substantial wins in Virginia, Maryland and the District of Columbia. On top of big wins over the weekend in Washington, Nebraska, Louisiana, Maine and the Virgin Islands.

That makes eight straight wins for the senator from Illinois — and eight straight losses for the senator from New York. The Democratic primary’s still far from over, but, for now, Obama’s clearly the front-runner. And Clinton’s suddenly the underdog.

Where'd They Get the Money?

I don’t agree with Brent Budowsky on anything.

But he raises a good point about the Clinton friends contemplating independent expenditures to help Hillary beat back Obama.

Mr. Budowsky says that the Clinton Gang ought not go there when it comes to skirting the laws put in place by George Soros.

I know that ole Brent is shocked that the Clinton gang is thinking about breaking the law to get their girl elected. That certainly doesn’t shock me, nor most other Americans.

Will Clinton Money Bosses Break Campaign Finance Laws?

Word is spreading behind the scenes that some of the largest Clinton campaign donors, with long relationships with Hillary and Bill and inter-locking relationships with the Clinton campaign, are considering massive "independent" spending campaigns.

Bad plan. As word becomes public, there will be a huge backlash and extremely grave potential legal implications.

If these folks are truly independent as defined by federal law, I will be selected by the College of Cardinals as the next Pope. Both are equally plausible.

The New Racist

It's fascinating how the overwhelming majority of American blacks are supporting Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.), whereas the black elite leadership is solidly in support of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.).

The question that immediately comes to mind is whether the black leadership has lost step with its core constituency and a new trend in American politics. Ironically, white males are much more likely to support Obama than are black politicians and elected officials.

This is a watershed moment in American racial politics. On one hand the black electorate seems to be fascinated with the possibility of electing a black president; black politicians, on the other hand, are working on the assumption that he's ultimately unelectable. Moreover, they do not see him as possessing the authentic class bona fides of a black political insider, despite the fact that he has been an urban community organizer in black communities, attends a black church, and is married to an undoubtedly and unashamedly powerful black woman.

Expectations Game Defense

Am I wrong, or has Hillary Clinton painted herself into a corner? Actually it's two corners, really, in Texas and Ohio.

It seems to be "do or die" for her in the March 4 primaries in those two states. Think Giuliani and Florida. In order to slow down Barack Obama's momentum and shore up the dwindling confidence of the campaign contributors, Hillary and her managers have told us to bank on the 4th of March as a Comeback Day. Still another one.

Never mind, they argue, what has happened in that string of elections and caucuses that followed Super Tuesday; those didn't really mean that much anyway. Her rebound begins in Texas and Ohio, where she's the favorite.

Let Florida and Michigan Vote

Two things seem very clear to me. The first is that the Democratic Party can't justifiably seat the delegates from the prior Florida and Michigan contests. The other is that it's fundamentally unfair to exclude voters from any state from having a voice in their own party's nominating process.

Seating the current batch from these states goes against the agreement made by the Democratic National Committee with various presidential campaigns. Because of this agreement, Clinton was the only major name on the Michigan ballot. Obama and Edwards, honorably, had their names removed. (Which alone should be enough of a reason not to seat Michigan's delegates.) The decision against Florida came too late to have the names removed from the ballot. So the candidates made an agreement not to campaign there, which was generally adhered to.

Presidential News and Notes

It was pretty hilarious that the Mike Huckabee press bus ran out of gas twice this morning (don't worry, the campaign ultimately delivered reporters to the airport) but I think we all know now that the Huckabee Show isn't a comedy act anymore.

Now he is contesting the results in Washington state (which are undoubtedly too close not to question) and asking whether or not John McCain can excite the base to turn out in a general election this fall. I think Huckabee has clearly gotten the message — that he is NOT going to be on the McCain ticket as vice presidential nominee — but now is the time to brand himself for other future jobs. Does he intend to collect more delegates than Mitt Romney so he can muck up Mitt's shot at 2012 as well? Does he want to be a bridge from the McCain administration to the conservative world? Will he throw McCain over the minute he loses to a Democratic nominee this fall?

New Quick Poll!

The talking heads are at it again, ladies and gentlemen, this time over the question of whether former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee ought to stay in the race for the GOP presidential nomination.

Does Huckabee's continued presence only weaken Sen. John McCain's (Ariz.) chances against the eventual Democratic nominee? Or is remaining in the running Huck's prerogative, especially given the fact that he's not yet mathematically eliminated? Is there another argument to be made?

Be sure to vote in our latest Quick Poll!, which you'll find just slightly down and to your right on this very page, and let your voice be heard.

The John Edwards Endorsement Auction

Prediction: John Edwards will not receive a Cabinet-level appointment in the administration of either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama.

While both are praising him effusively — and I have no private information on the subject — they must both be privately offended that he puts them through these ridiculous hoops to receive his endorsement.

Edwards raised some valuable issues during the campaign, but with all due respect, he made a lot of money from a hedge fund that evicted Katrina victims in New Orleans, then he went to New Orleans to build houses for the homeless, presumably for some of the homeless whom his hedge fund had evicted.

Obama the Democratic Nominee? Yes, He Can!

I believe that Barack Obama will defeat Hillary Clinton and win the Democratic nomination. I think that this weekend's victories in states as diverse as Washington state, Louisiana, Nebraska and Maine illustrate his national appeal and demonstrate Hillary's inability to win in states without large immigrant and Latino populations.

Hillary's results on Super Tuesday, which amounted to a draw with Obama, will be her high-water mark and will represent the closest she will ever come to the party nomination.

Right now, CBS has Obama ahead in elected delegates with 1,134, while Hillary has only 1,131.By the time Virginia, Maryland, D.C., Wisconsin and Hawaii vote during the next week, Obama will have a lead over Clinton of about 100 delegates, even counting the super-delegates who have thus far committed themselves.