Polling analyst: Same Dems who voted for Gorsuch will vote for Kavanaugh

 

Morning Consult senior polling reporter Cameron Easley predicted Friday that the same Senate Democrats who voted for Justice Neil Gorsuch will vote for President TrumpDonald John TrumpGillibrand urges opposition to Kavanaugh: Fight for abortion rights 'is now or never' Trump claims tariffs on foreign nations will rescue US steel industry: report Bannon announces pro-Trump movie, operation team ahead of midterms: report MORE's latest Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh.

“I think the same Senate Democrats who voted for Neil Gorsuch ... Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyKavanaugh has 'productive' meeting with key swing votes Election Countdown: GOP worries House majority endangered by top of ticket | Dems make history in Tuesday's primaries | Parties fight for Puerto Rican vote in Florida | GOP lawmakers plan 'Freedom Tour' The Hill's 12:30 Report MORE [Ind.], Heidi HeitkampMary (Heidi) Kathryn HeitkampKavanaugh has 'productive' meeting with key swing votes Election Countdown: GOP worries House majority endangered by top of ticket | Dems make history in Tuesday's primaries | Parties fight for Puerto Rican vote in Florida | GOP lawmakers plan 'Freedom Tour' The Hill's 12:30 Report MORE [N.D.] and [Joe] Manchin [W.Va.], will do the same [on Kavanaugh]," Easley told Hill.TV's Joe Concha on "What America's Thinking." 

Still, Easley noted that other Senate Democrats up for reelection this year in states won by President Trump in 2016, such as Sens. Claire McCaskillClaire Conner McCaskillElection Countdown: GOP worries House majority endangered by top of ticket | Dems make history in Tuesday's primaries | Parties fight for Puerto Rican vote in Florida | GOP lawmakers plan 'Freedom Tour' FBI investigated cyberattacks targeting Dem opponent to Rohrabacher: report Progressives fume as Dems meet with Brett Kavanaugh MORE (D-Mo.) and Bill NelsonClarence (Bill) William NelsonElection Countdown: GOP worries House majority endangered by top of ticket | Dems make history in Tuesday's primaries | Parties fight for Puerto Rican vote in Florida | GOP lawmakers plan 'Freedom Tour' Google releases archive of online political ads The Hill's Morning Report — GOP seeks to hold Trump’s gains in Midwest states MORE (D-Fla.), could opt to vote against Kavanaugh.

“I think McCaskill is going to be a little bit concerned about base enthusiasm, it seems like there are some signs there as well, and I think Bill Nelson might have the same issue in Florida, so I would expect them to vote no," he said.

McCaskill has taken heat from her likely Republican opponent Josh Hawley for her vote on Gorsuch.

Hawley launched a campaign ad attacking McCaskill's decision to vote against Gorsuch last March, saying she put her party ahead of Missouri in the vote. 

— Julia Manchester