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The Hill's 12:30 Report: 2015 was the hottest year on record | New planet in the solar system | Graham campaigns with Jeb today | Winter is coming
BREAKING -- 2015 WAS THE HOTTEST YEAR ON RECORD: ViaThe Hill's Devin Henry, last year was the hottest recorded on Earth since officials began tracking temperatures in 1880. New data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration show average temperatures over land and ocean were 1.62 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th century average, clearing the previous record by 0.29 degrees Fahrenheit. http://bit.ly/1nme4Ee
A (VERY REAL) BAD NEWS BEARS SCENARIO FOR HILLARY: Via The Hill's Niall Stanage, Bernie SandersBernie SandersPerez to hit the Sunday shows following election victory How Perez edged Ellison for DNC chair Clinton: Dems will be 'strong, unified' with Perez MORE has a very real chance of winning Iowa and New Hampshire -- and Hillary ClintonHillary Rodham ClintonPerez to hit the Sunday shows following election victory Five takeaways from CPAC Clinton: Dems will be 'strong, unified' with Perez MORE is already strategizing on how to handle that scenario. Clinton is trying to lock down the support of black voters as a "firewall" for South Carolina and beyond, but in a year when all conventional wisdom has been turned on its head, that firewall might not be a sure thing. http://bit.ly/1luWAnk
JUST RELEASED -- TRUMP LEADS GOP FIELD 2 TO 1: Via The Hill's Jonathan Easley, Donald TrumpDonald TrumpFrench president rips Trump’s Paris comments By any other name: Revised Trump border rules will still be a Muslim ban Trump's first dinner out in DC: His own hotel MORE holds a more than two-to-one advantage over the next closest contender in a new national poll. Trump leads with 36 percent (down from 41 percent in December!), followed by Ted CruzTed CruzBrietbart CEO reveals that Trump donors are part owners At CPAC, Trump lashes out at media Conquering Trump returns to conservative summit MORE at 17 percent, Marco RubioMarco RubioAt CPAC, Trump lashes out at media Conquering Trump returns to conservative summit Rubio brushes off demonstrator asking about town halls MORE at 11 percent, Ben Carson at 8 percent and Jeb Bush at 5 percent. http://bit.ly/1OG9ur1
Note: While the lead is big, it's a national poll. State polls better highlight actual support in each caucus or primary.
It's Wednesday and to borrow from "Game of Thrones," WINTER IS COMING. The National Weather Service has issued a Blizzard Watch for the D.C. area, with 12–20 inches expected. I'm Cate Martel with a quick recap of what you missed this morning -- and what's on tap for the rest of the day. Send your tips, story ideas, complaints and your personal snow predictions to firstname.lastname@example.org and @CateMartel
NEW THIS A.M. -- "FAST AND FURIOUS" RIFLE FOUND AT DRUG LORD'S LAIR: Via The Hill's Jesse Byrnes, a .50-caliber rifle recovered from the hideout of drug lord Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán was reportedly lost by the U.S. government's "Fast and Furios" gun-smuggling operation. http://bit.ly/1PFaKdJ
COME ON IN, THE WATER'S FINE!: Via The Hill's Jonathan Swan, Republican donors are quietly coming around to the idea that Donald Trump could be their party's nominee. This is a major shift. http://bit.ly/1OFYIRu
A BURIED LEDE -- SCOTT BROWN MAY ENDORSE: In the final paragraph of The Wall Street Journal's Janet Hook report about Ted Cruz's campaign event in Rye, N.H., yesterday, Hook writes that former Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) might endorse an unnamed presidential candidate next week. http://on.wsj.com/1ZMat3p
A TRIBUTE TO BRADEN JOPLIN: Via The Hill's Rebecca Savransky, a 25-year-old volunteer on Ben Carson's campaign was killed in a car crash yesterday. Here are tributes from the presidential candidates: http://bit.ly/1n9I5Xp
BEFORE WE HUMILIATE EVERYONE -- HERE'S HOW POLLS TRICK PEOPLE: Yesterday, a survey was released saying 10 percent of college grads think Judge Judy is a Supreme Court justice. OY VEY. But wait, The Huffington Post's Samantha Guff explains how polls trick people into saying dumb things -- like that Judge Judy is on SCOTUS. Hint: It's the same misleading way that another poll asked whether the United States should bomb Agrabah without any context. Agrabah is a fictional city from "Aladdin." http://huff.to/1PgW4Y4
READY, SET... LOBBY!: Fresh off the cooling period between working in Congress and lobbying, former Reps. Henry Waxman (D-Calif.), Buck McKeon (R-Calif.), Lee Terry (R-Neb.), Jim MoranJim MoranFormer reps: Increase support to Ukraine to deter Russia GOP Rep. Comstock holds on to Virginia House seat 10 races Democrats must win to take the House MORE (D-Va.) and Dave Camp (R-Mich.) are among the lawmakers who are free to lobby. http://bit.ly/1RT15qw
PALIN QUOTES YOU ASK? YOU BETCHA!: In honor of Sarah Palin endorsing Donald Trump, here are the top 12 Sarah Palin quotes from Nick Wing of The Huffington Post. http://huff.to/23dEzMs
WELL, THAT'S RUDE: The front page of the New York Daily News features New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady -- on a baby's body. It's titled, "Crybaby." Photo: http://bit.ly/1OFJJan
A WEIRD RELATIONSHIP: Via NPR's David Folkenflik, Univision, the parent company to the nation's leading Spanish-language broadcast channel, has acquired a controlling stake in the satirical news site "The Onion." http://n.pr/1OwuLFC
IN NEW HAMPSHIRE NEWS: Via WMUR, the Supreme Court has declined to review a petition from New Hampshire's only death row inmate. http://bit.ly/1Kr04hf
The Boston Globe's Matt Viser
John McCainJohn McCainDrug importation won't save dollars or lives Dem rep Charlie Crist files for divorce Why the GOP cannot sweep its Milo scandal under the rug MORE's former running mate is now endorsing the man who said he's not a war hero. Welcome to 2016, everyone. http://bit.ly/1PoGjbn
Mother Jones's Ben Dreyfuss
The funniest part of this Palin-Trump interview is when she is just spouting word salad and Trump looks like "WTF?" http://bit.ly/1Pf6NSO
National Journal's Ron Fournier
President Donald Trump (just getting used to it)
Donald Trump tweeted back: Wow, very nice!
Ron Fournier replied: My tweet was a warning, sir, not a compliment. http://bit.ly/1P5iDgh
The House is out of session this week.
1:30 p.m. EST: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) addresses the New Hampshire House of Representatives.
1:30 p.m. EST: Jeb Bush is holding a meet-and-greet with Sen. Lindsey GrahamLindsey GrahamThe Hill's 12:30 Report Back to the future: Congress should look to past for Fintech going forward CNN to host town hall featuring John McCain, Lindsey Graham MORE (R-S.C.)
2:30 p.m. EST: The Senate will vote to open debate on the refugee bill.
4:30 p.m. EST: Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) holds a rally in Hollis, N.H.
6 p.m. EST: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) speaks in Derry, N.H.
7 p.m. EST: Jeb Bush speaks at the Keene Country Club in Keene, N.H.
8:30 a.m. EST tomorrow: Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) speaks at the Americans for Peace, Prosperity and Security forum at UNH-Manchester.
NOW FOR THE FUN STUFF...
Today is National Cheese Lovers Day! Get at me. It's also #PenguinAwarenessDay.
MARK YOUR CALENDARS: The Annual National Cherry Blossom Festival will take place in Washington, D.C., from March 20 to April 17. Prepare. For. All. The. Tourists.
TAKE A FRY, ADD CHOCOLATE: Because McDonalds French fries are too healthy (?), they're adding chocolate to them! It's called the "McChoco Potato." Yep, this is a thing. Here are the photos to prove it: http://bit.ly/1P5q8Uu
BEST OF LATE-NIGHT TV: Hillary Clinton rattled off polls during a recent interview and then said, "I don't pay any attention to [polls]." Seth Myers on "Late Night" enjoyed this comment saying, "You can't say you don't pay attention to polls right after citing a poll. That's like saying, 'I'm not a gambler, but taking New England -3.5 plus the over is a fantastic parlay.' " Watch: http://bit.ly/1P5jn5g
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