Most GOP senators likely to oppose Sotomayor bid

Republican opposition to Sonia Sotomayor has solidified over the past week and it is likely that most GOP senators will reject her nomination to the Supreme Court.

A review by The Hill of recent media statements by Republican senators finds that 14 of the conference’s 40 members are opposed to the nomination, five support her and 21 have not indicated which way they will vote.

The nomination goes before the Judiciary Committee at 10 a.m. Tuesday with a full, final Senate vote expected before the Senate recesses on Aug. 7.

President Obama’s choice for the Supreme Court is far from endangered, however. Most, if not all, Democrats are expected to approve her nomination and Republicans have vowed not to mount a filibuster.

The five GOP yes votes on Sotomayor are expected from Sens. Susan CollinsSusan Margaret CollinsOvernight Energy: Dems raise new questions about Pruitt's security | EPA rules burning wood is carbon neutral | Fourth GOP lawmaker calls for Pruitt's ouster | Court blocks delay to car efficiency fines How much does the FDA really do to promote public health? Trump aide: Mueller probe 'has gone well beyond' initial scope MORE and Olympia Snowe of Maine, Lindsey GrahamLindsey Olin GrahamOvernight Cybersecurity: Senators eye path forward on election security bill | Facebook isn't winning over privacy advocates | New hacks target health care Paul backs Pompeo, clearing path for confirmation Can Silicon Valley expect European-style regulation here at home? MORE (S.C.), Richard Lugar (Ind.) and Mel Martinez (Fla.). Graham is alone among the seven Republicans on the Judiciary Committee in announcing support for Sotomayor. Sen. Kit Bond (R-Mo.) has said he will “probably” vote for Sotomayor.

Expected GOP “no” votes on Sotomayor will likely come from Jeff SessionsJefferson (Jeff) Beauregard SessionsPress: Why does Scott Pruitt still have a job? DOJ announces M grant to cover costs associated with Parkland shooting ‘Morning Joe’ host: Trump tweeting during Barbara Bush funeral ‘insulting’ to US MORE (Ala.), Bob Bennett (Utah), Sam Brownback (Kan.), Jim Bunning (Ky.), Thad CochranWilliam (Thad) Thad CochranChamber of Commerce makes play in Mississippi Senate race for Hyde-Smith Shelby approved as Appropriations panel chairman Cindy Hyde-Smith sworn in as Mississippi's latest senator MORE (Miss.), John CornynJohn CornynRand's reversal advances Pompeo Joe Scarborough predicts Trump won't run in 2020 Republicans divided over legislation protecting Mueller MORE (Texas), Orrin HatchOrrin Grant HatchTrump struggles to get new IRS team in place Romney forced into GOP primary for Utah Senate nomination Romney won't commit yet to supporting Trump in 2020 MORE (Utah), James InhofeJames (Jim) Mountain InhofeDems give muted praise to Pompeo-Kim meeting Overnight Energy: Former Pruitt aide alleges more wasteful spending, retaliation | Senate confirms EPA No. 2 | Zinke backs off big park fee increases Senate approves Trump’s pick for No. 2 at EPA MORE (Okla.), Jon Kyl (Ariz.), Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellRand's reversal advances Pompeo After Dems stood against Pompeo, Senate’s confirmation process needs a revamp Overnight Cybersecurity: Senators eye path forward on election security bill | Facebook isn't winning over privacy advocates | New hacks target health care MORE (Ky.), Pat RobertsCharles (Pat) Patrick RobertsGOP senators raise concerns about babies on Senate floor Senate passes resolution allowing Duckworth to bring baby on floor Kill off anti-environmental excesses in the farm bill MORE (Kan.), John ThuneJohn Randolph ThuneHouse, Senate GOP compete for cash Overnight Tech: Alleged robocall kingpin testifies before Congress | What lawmakers learned | Push for new robocall rules | Facebook changes privacy settings ahead of new data law | Time Warner CEO defends AT&T merger at trial Senators grill alleged robocall kingpin MORE (S.D.) and Roger WickerRoger Frederick WickerLet's hold Facebook to the same standards as other players in the industry Cindy Hyde-Smith sworn in as Mississippi's latest senator Miss. Dem touts campaign poll saying he leads GOP candidates in Senate race MORE (Miss.). Sen. Chuck GrassleyCharles (Chuck) Ernest GrassleyOvernight Cybersecurity: Senators eye path forward on election security bill | Facebook isn't winning over privacy advocates | New hacks target health care Juan Williams: GOP support for Trump begins to crack This week: Senate barrels toward showdown over Pompeo MORE (Iowa) will also oppose her, the Des Moines Register reported Monday evening.

The vote is still not expected to be as partisan as the last Supreme Court nomination, that of Samuel Alito in January 2006. Only four Democrats supported Alito — the party was in the minority at the time — with all 40 others opposed. By contrast, Democrats were evenly split, 22-22, in September 2005 on the nomination of John Roberts to be the court’s chief justice.

Sessions said on Monday that the floor vote will be more controversial than the vote on Roberts.

“One reason is pretty obvious: John Roberts was sent from central casting to be chief justice,” Sessions said. “Her [Sotomayor’s] philosophy of judging, as expressed over a decade and in speeches, is not consistent with the American ideal of justice. It’s just not. That’s why she backtracked so dramatically at the hearing, because the administration probably felt the American public wouldn’t be happy with that. It’s not that she’s an evil person. She’s just bought into a certain approach.

He added, “But I’m not counting votes. I have not twisted any arms, and neither has Sen. McConnell or anyone else. We know [Tuesday] she’ll come out of the committee and be on the floor in a few days. The president does deserve some deference, even though President Obama gave almost no deference to Roberts and Alito.”

The National Rifle Association (NRA) has announced its intention to include the Sotomayor vote in future scorecards of legislators’ voting records. In a letter to McConnell and Majority Leader Harry ReidHarry Mason ReidAfter Dems stood against Pompeo, Senate’s confirmation process needs a revamp GOP poised to advance rules change to speed up Trump nominees Dems walk tightrope on Pompeo nomination MORE (D-Nev.) last week, the NRA cited two controversial decisions in Sotomayor’s past: Maloney v. Cuomo, in which she ruled the Second Amendment did not apply to state and local governments, and United States v. Sanchez-Villar, in which she ruled that gun ownership is not a fundamental right.

“We believe any individual who does not agree that the Second Amendment guarantees a fundamental right and who does not respect our God-given right of self-defense should not serve on any court, much less the highest court in the land,” the NRA’s letter reads. “Given the importance of this issue, the vote on Judge Sotomayor’s confirmation will be considered in NRA’s future candidate evaluations.”

The NRA provided The Hill with its top “scorers” who were up in the 2008 cycle. They include Sessions, Saxby ChamblissClarence (Saxby) Saxby ChamblissLobbying World Former GOP senator: Let Dems engage on healthcare bill OPINION: Left-wing politics will be the demise of the Democratic Party MORE (R-Ga.), Jim RischJames (Jim) Elroy RischChanging the rules won't fix congressional dysfunction Senate approves .3 trillion spending bill, sending to Trump Overnight Health Care: FDA takes first step to cut nicotine levels in cigarettes | Trump's health chief backs official at center of abortion fight | Trump opioid plan will reportedly include death penalty for some drug dealers MORE (R-Idaho), Roberts, McConnell, Cochran, Wicker, Max BaucusMax Sieben BaucusGreen Party puts Dem seat at risk in Montana Business groups worried about Trump's China tariffs plan Farmers hit Trump on trade in new ad MORE (D-Mont.), Mike JohannsMichael (Mike) Owen JohannsMeet the Democratic sleeper candidate gunning for Senate in Nebraska Farmers, tax incentives can ease the pain of a smaller farm bill Lobbying World MORE (R-Neb.), Inhofe, Graham, Tim JohnsonTimothy (Tim) Peter JohnsonSenate GOP rejects Trump’s call to go big on gun legislation Court ruling could be game changer for Dems in Nevada Bank lobbyists counting down to Shelby’s exit MORE (D-S.D.), Lamar AlexanderAndrew (Lamar) Lamar AlexanderThe risk of kicking higher ed reauthorization down the road Maternal deaths keep rising in US, raising scrutiny Supreme Court weighs future of online sales taxes MORE (R-Tenn.), Cornyn, Mark WarnerMark Robert WarnerRand's reversal advances Pompeo Pompeo headed for confirmation after surprise panel vote Overnight Finance: Treasury mulls sanctions relief for Russian aluminum firm | Trump floats tying NAFTA talks to border security | 14 states hit record-low unemployment MORE (D-Va.), Mike EnziMichael (Mike) Bradley EnziTerminating Budget Committees not as absurd as it sounds America's budget deficit is a ticking time bomb Abolishing Budget Committee hits a symptom, not the disease MORE (R-Wyo.) and John BarrassoJohn Anthony BarrassoAfter Dems stood against Pompeo, Senate’s confirmation process needs a revamp Major GOP donor Friess to enter Wyoming governor race EPA to conduct 'full review' of information requests for Pruitt records MORE (R-Wyo.).

A CNN/Opinion Research Inc. poll released on Friday found that 47 percent of respondents favored Sotomayor for the court, with 40 percent opposed and 13 percent uncertain. The poll was conducted June 26-28 and included 1,026 U.S. adults, with a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.

 This article was updated on July 28 at 10:55 a.m.

Bob Cusack, Michael M. Gleeson and Kiera McCaffrey contributed to this article.