THE HILL
 

Republicans gain momentum; Democrats gain House seat

By Reid Wilson and Aaron Blake - 11/04/09 12:41 AM ET

Republicans received a shot in the arm Tuesday night with wins in two governorships previously held by Democrats, even while Democrats padded their majority in Congress.

The wins, in Virginia and New Jersey, will give the GOP hope that independent voters may be giving the party a second look after a year of total Democratic control.

In Virginia, former Attorney General Bob McDonnell (R) swept to an easy victory. With nearly 96 percent of the precincts reporting, McDonnell led state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) by 59 percent to 41 percent.

Meanwhile, New Jersey Republicans ended a long dry spell, electing their first statewide candidate since 1997. Former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie (R) defeated Gov. Jon Corzine (D), leading by 49 percent to 45 percent with 79 percent of precincts reporting.

Both seats were previously held by Democrats, with Democratic National Committee (DNC) Chairman Tim Kaine term-limited as the top executive in Virginia.

But all was not necessarily well for the GOP, which continued its losing ways on the federal level. Even as Republicans claim independent voters are swinging back their way and expressing frustration with Democratic majorities in Congress, Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) added to her burgeoning majority.


In a special election to fill Army Secretary John McHugh's vacant House seat, attorney Bill Owens (D) led Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman 49-45 with 85 percent of precincts reporting. The race was called for Owens just after midnight.

Republicans face losing their fifth straight special election in Congress, in a district that has been Republican-held for more than a century.

Hoffman took up the GOP banner over the weekend, after liberal Republican nominee Dede Scozzafava was effectively pushed from the race by Hoffman’s momentum.

Republicans rallied to Hoffman’s side as much as they could with just three days left in the race, but a late visit from Vice President Joe Biden and the Democratic turnout operation boosted  Owens at the end.

However the special election turns out, Republicans signaled they would use the wins to bolster their fundraising and recruiting success, claiming a mandate against Democratic initiatives on Capitol Hill.

"The Republican Party’s overwhelming victory in Virginia is a blow to President Obama and the Democrat Party. It sends a clear signal that voters have had enough of the president’s liberal agenda. The Republican Party and our grassroots supporters have renewed strength in Virginia," Republican National Committee chairman Michael Steele said in a statement.

"Chris Christie’s victory is a clear sign that Republicans can win in any state next year and the RGA is poised to help candidates across the country win in 2010," said Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R), vice chairman of the Republican Governors Association.

Steele, who has sent out two memos in recent days touting RNC efforts in Virginia and New Jersey, appeared to position himself in such a way as to take credit on Tuesday night. After appearing at McDonnell's victory rally in Richmond, Steele boarded a private jet, sources told The Hill, in order to head to New Jersey to appear at Christie's victory rally.

Democrats will point to Owens's win as evidence that the party’s message still resonates with voters -- and, more so, that the internal struggles within the Republican Party have cost the GOP a another congressional seat.

The seat was previously held by Army Secretary John McHugh, a Republican.

Democrats point to Hoffman’s coup of the Republican mantle as part of a troubling trend for a GOP in search of an identity. Establishment Republicans around the country will have to watch their right flanks as they prepare their 2010 campaigns.

-- This article was updated at 12:41 a.m.

Source:
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/66231-gop-gains-momentum-but-caveat-looms-in-ny

Comments (29)

The GOPs are dreaming if they try to read anything too favorable in the wins in VA and NJ…those were local races, run on local issues. NY-23 is more important in the long-run, where the voters rejected the angry and negative far-right screamers, who nevertheless seem determined to continue destroying their own party…just keep coming up with candidates like Hoffman, Palin, Santorum, Bachmann, etc. and I can promise you that you'll be on the sidelines for many years.BY TaylorB1 on 11/04/2009 at 00:51
How many votes does a state governor get in Congress? Do they have a veto over Federal legislation? The relative importance of the various races tonight by the press seems upside-down to me. VA and NJ don't have the ability to deficit spend their way out of this recession. The governors in those states can't deliver anything in the way of relief to their people. Those two new Dem Representatives will actually get to sit on committees and vote on federal legislation that just might. So which are the more significant races?BY Phil Lembo on 11/04/2009 at 00:54
Hey repubs! California's 10th dist. and N.Y. 23rd dist. both Dem. pick ups on fed. level. That is really where it counts! Gov. positions are local issues and congressional positions are national issues…Dems. are adding to their majority. Why? The bullying tactics of the tea baggers only seem to impress the conservatives not the nation as a whole.BY lifecoaches on 11/04/2009 at 05:10
NY-23 proves that Republican scare tactics work, for Democrats. A pity. Republicans used to win with centrist, even liberal candidates. The Southern strategy did gain the GOP the South but they're losing ground everywhere else.BY Edward Craig on 11/04/2009 at 08:05
The 23rd CD in Upstate NY doesn't matter because itis going to be eliminated in the next couple of due to redistricting. That's the way it goes. All the congressmen and women should be term limited because the way districts are drawn ¾ of them either have so opposition or very little in their runs for reelection. Democracy is ill served by the GROSS GERRYMANDERING! !!!!!!BY Nancy on 11/04/2009 at 08:51
Lifecoaches—who's doing the bullying here? I would remind you of the gentle tactics of Rahm Emmanuel and your pals at ACORN. Get real.BY CodeWarrior on 11/04/2009 at 09:00
The dems are at it again. The reps did not make the difference, it was the indenpendents. I am sure that the dems that comment on this have run a campaign before since they are so knowledgeable of the facts this morning.BY PL on 11/04/2009 at 09:12
Time will tell…it's early.BY Bruceless the Useles on 11/04/2009 at 09:19
TaylorB1 is right. NY-23 was one of the most pro-labor republican districts in the country. In this race and in many to come I believe that jobs will trump any social agenda. Traditionally, employment lags behind any economic recovery by six to eight months. If this holds true, employment will be rising as we go into the 2010 elections.As for NJ VA, I agree with "The Votemaster" at http://www.electoral-vote.com/ who notes:"Virginia and New Jersey Follow Historical Pattern "Republicans Bob McDonnell and Chris Christie won their gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey, respectively. With stories spinning in all directions about the predictive value of yesterday's elections, perhaps a look at the historical record of the Virginia and New Jersey off-year elections will prove of interest. In all eight gubernatorial elections since Ronald Reagan's first term, Virginia has given the party of the incumbent President a loss. In New Jersey, the President's party has lost six gubernatorial elections in a row`. Here are the data." His chart and additional comment are at http://www.electoral-vote.com — read the data and judge for yourself.BY douglas on 11/04/2009 at 09:37
Those two gubernatorial victories for the GOP are bigger than people think…BY Ciz on 11/04/2009 at 10:08

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