Who will see victory on Election Day? The pundits weigh in with their picks

Dana Perino, former White House press secretary for George W. Bush and now co-host of “The Five” on Fox:

Who will win the Electoral College? 

Romney 

How many electoral votes will he get?

279

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Who will win the popular vote?

Romney, 50.4 percent to 49.6

Who will win Virginia?

Romney

Who will win Florida?

Romney

Who will win Ohio?

Romney (by a whisker) 

Will Democrats retain the Senate?

Yes

How many seats will Senate Democrats or Senate GOP pick up?

Democrats +3

Will GOP retain the House?

Yes

How many seats will House Democrats or Senate GOP gain?

Democrats +7

Analysis: “America now has a chance to re-establish better relations between the parties in Washington after the poisonous atmosphere of the last several years. With the 2012 election [over] and a fiscal calamity looming, we’ll soon see who will step up to lead and guide the country through these troubled waters.”


Lanny Davis, the principal in the Washington law firm of Lanny J. Davis & Associates, served as former President Clinton’s special counsel and is a columnist for The Hill.

Who will win the Electoral College?

Obama 

How many electoral votes will he get?

281

Who will win the popular vote?

Obama, 50-49

Who will win Virginia?

Romney

Who will win Florida?

Romney

Who will win Ohio?

Obama 

Will Democrats retain the Senate?

Yes

How many seats will Senate Democrats or Senate GOP pick up?

GOP +3

Will GOP retain the House?

Yes

How many seats will House Democrats or House GOP gain?

Democrats +15

Analysis: “How economy is improving by election is key reason why Obama won … Obama will focus on grand bargain and endorse basic outlines of Simpson-Bowles and become a Clinton centrist in second term.”



Grover Norquist, conservative activist who heads Americans for Tax Reform

Who will win the Electoral College?

Romney

How many electoral votes will he get?

290

Who will win the popular vote?

Romney, 52-48

Who will win Virginia? 

Romney

Who will win Florida? 

Romney

Who will win Ohio? 

Romney

Will Democrats retain the Senate? 

No. 

How many seats will Senate Democrats or Senate GOP pick up?

GOP +3

Will GOP retain the House? 

Yes

How many seats will House Democrats or House GOP gain? 

No change

Analysis: “The Republican victory in House races will, because of redistricting, assure a Republican House for the next 10 years. The number of weak Democrat Senate seats in 2014 guarantees a strong Republican Senate from 2014 onward. But the real story of Republican growing strength will be the number of governorships and state legislative bodies controlled by Republicans.”


Simon Rosenberg, Democratic strategist and president of NDN

Who will win Electoral College?

Obama

How many electoral votes will he get?

332 

Who will win popular vote?

Obama, 51-48

Who will win Virginia?

Obama 

Who will win Florida?

Obama

Who will win Ohio?

Obama

Will Democrats retain the Senate?

Yes

How many seats will Senate Democrats or Senate GOP pick up?

No change

Will GOP retain the House?

Yes

How many seats will House Democrats or House GOP gain?

Democrats +5

Analysis: “Given struggling economy, Democrats keeping White House, Senate remarkable political achievement. GOP left with the House only, far too influenced by Tea Partiers, and can’t feel good about where they are or how they performed this cycle. Obama will be in strong position to move two or three big things in his second term, the U.S. economy will take off next year, and the president will go down in history as a successful and strong leader in a time of great challenge.”



Brent Budowsky, columnist for The Hill and former aide to Sen. Lloyd Bentsen (D-Texas)

Who will win the Electoral College? 

Obama

How many electoral votes will he get?

278

Who will win the popular vote?

Romney with 50.1 percent of the vote

Who will win Virginia?

Obama

Who will win Florida?

Romney

Who will win Ohio?

Obama

Will Democrats retain the Senate?

Yes

How many seats will Senate Democrats or Senate GOP pick up?

No change

Will GOP retain the House?

Yes

How many seats will House Democrats or House GOP gain?

Democrats +10

Analysis: “The big winners are Bill and Hillary Clinton [and] Sens. Harry Reid (D-Nev.) and Patty Murray (D-Wash.), while Elizabeth Warren [D-Mass.] and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) become mega-stars in the Senate. GOP moderate-conservative civil war begins. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) credited/blamed for Obama win. Obama approval reaches 55 percent and fiscal cliff avoided.”


Julie Mason, host of “The Press Pool” on Sirius XM Radio’s nonpartisan POTUS channel

Who will win the Electoral College? 

Obama

How many electoral votes will he get?

305

Who will win the popular vote?

Romney, 50.5–48.5

Who will win Virginia?

Romney

Who will win Florida?

Romney

Who will win Ohio?

Obama

Will Democrats retain the Senate?

Yes

How many seats will Senate Democrats or Senate GOP pick up?

Democrats +2

Will GOP retain the House?

Yes

How many seats will House Democrats or House GOP gain?

Democrats +5

Analysis: “There is so much bitterness and recrimination on both sides this year — suspicion about the polls, dishonesty by the campaigns, hatred of the news media, pungent disdain between the candidates. Whoever wins will inherit an angry, resentful and restive country, far short of the cleansing, validating mandate both candidates are hoping for. Also — if my predictions come up horribly short, I vow to grow a mustache.”


Armstrong Williams, conservative commentator and radio talk show host; contributor to The Hill’s Pundits Blog

Who will win the Electoral College?

Romney

How many electoral votes will he get?

282

Who will win the popular vote?

Romney, 51-49

Who will win Virginia?

Romney

Who will win Florida?

Romney

Who will win Ohio?

Romney

Will Democrats retain the Senate?

Yes

How many seats will Senate Democrats or Senate GOP pick up?

GOP +2

Will GOP retain the House?

Yes

How many seats will House Democrats or House GOP gain?

Democrats +6

Analysis: “Americans are now desperate for something different. At first they were skeptical of Romney, but following the debates, and spending more time on both candidates’ plans, they’ve warmed nicely to the idea of a President Romney … For the past 20 years, [independent voters] have driven election outcomes; and this year will be no different. They will tip the scales in favor of Romney on Election Day, but not by much.”