GOP scrambles to win centrist votes on ObamaCare repeal

Senate Republican leaders are focused on winning over centrists as they try to revive their legislation repealing and replacing ObamaCare. 

Their strategy is to win over moderates who balked at their earlier bill, and then hope that the pressure to take action on the GOP’s promise to repeal former President Barack ObamaBarack Hussein ObamaReport: FCC chair to push for complete repeal of net neutrality Right way and wrong way Keystone XL pipeline clears major hurdle despite recent leak MORE’s signature legislation will be enough to get conservative senators to back the bill.

GOP leaders can only afford to lose two votes, giving them little room for error.

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The most notable sign of their strategy on Thursday was a willingness to scrap cutting the capital gains tax rate on wealthy individuals and families from 23.8 percent to 20 percent, according to several GOP senators.

GOP leaders would use the savings to provide more money for low-income Americans who might not be able to afford health insurance — a goal of centrist Republican opponents of the healthcare bill.

“Leaving the burden on the low-income and at the same time repealing that 3.8 percent is not an appropriate way going about dealing with this issue, and leadership is attempting to address that. I'm actually very confident that's going to be addressed,” Sen. Bob CorkerRobert (Bob) Phillips CorkerBannon: McConnell 'picking up his game' because of our 'insurgent movement' State Dept. spokeswoman acknowledges 'morale issue' The Hill's 12:30 Report MORE (R-Tenn.) told reporters Thursday afternoon.

Scrapping language cutting the capital gains tax would provide hundreds of billions of dollars in additional revenue to increase tax credits for low-income families, beef up the stabilization fund and enhance Medicaid payments.

Many Republican senators said they are open to the change, but some conservatives objected.

“We pledged that we would repeal ObamaCare,” Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) told reporters. “I don't remember anybody going around saying, 'Oh except for these job-killing tax increases.’”

Sen. John ThuneJohn Randolph ThuneSenate panel approves GOP tax plan Republicans see rising Dem odds in Alabama Overnight Health Care: Nearly 1.5M sign up for ObamaCare so far | Schumer says Dems won't back ObamaCare deal if it's tied to tax bill | House passes fix to measure letting Pentagon approve medical treatments MORE (R-S.D.) said keeping the tax is under consideration, as is boosting up the generosity of the tax credits.

Republican leaders have also indicated a willingness to dramatically increase a $62 billion fund that would help low-income individuals with high healthcare costs buy insurance.

One Republican senator said the fund could as much as double. A GOP aide said leaders would “pour a lot of money” into it to alleviate concerns among moderate lawmakers.

Senate Republican Whip John CornynJohn CornynGOP senator: ObamaCare fix could be in funding bill Senate GOP running out of options to stop Moore Texas Republicans slam White House over disaster relief request MORE (Texas) cast the fund as giving more power to states.

“That’s going to be an important part of this,” said Cornyn, the No. 2 Republican in the Senate. “What it represents is a devolution of power and money from Washington back to the states. So the states are going to have a lot of resources and a lot of flexibility."

Another change aimed at centrists would add $45 billion to the bill to fight opioid abuse. Sens. Shelley Moore CapitoShelley Moore CapitoOvernight Finance: Senate tax bill will include ObamaCare mandate repeal | Stock surge raises pressure for GOP to deliver tax reform | Ryan hints at short-term spending bill | House votes to overhaul federal flood insurance GOP senator: Congress may ‘stumble’ on paying for Trump's infrastructure plan Overnight Tech: Dems want FCC chair investigated over Sinclair merger | Google faces state antitrust probe | Qualcomm rejects Broadcom offer | Startups criticize plan to tax employees' stocks MORE (R-W.Va.) and Rob PortmanRobert (Rob) Jones PortmanGOP defends Trump judicial nominee with no trial experience Bipartisan compromise is vital to the legislative process Senate GOP reveals different approach on tax reform MORE (R-Ohio) both praised that change, though the two senators worried about Medicaid cuts are not ready to support the bill yet.

“I’m not there yet, I know that,” Capito said.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellAlabama election has GOP racing against the clock McConnell PAC demands Moore return its money Klobuchar taking over Franken's sexual assault bill MORE (R-Ky.) had to drop plans for a vote this week after five GOP colleagues threatened to block a procedural vote on the measure.

McConnell’s new goal is to get a deal by Friday that would allow the Congressional Budget Office to produced a new score over the recess. The Senate might then vote for the legislation when it returns from recess.

Some Republican senators are worried the bill as currently drafted could become a millstone around the party’s neck, sinking it in future elections.

Sen. Lindsey GrahamLindsey Olin GrahamAlabama election has GOP racing against the clock Graham on Moore: 'We are about to give away a seat' key to Trump's agenda Tax plans show Congress putting donors over voters MORE (R-S.C.), speaking at the Senate Republican lunch Thursday, told colleagues that while he understands the party has made a promise to repeal ObamaCare, that doesn’t mean they should rush through flawed legislation.

“Just because we made a promise doesn’t mean we have to pass a bad product,” he warned colleagues, according to one source who attended the private meeting.

Another source recalled Graham warning that colleagues shouldn’t pass an “unpopular” bill, arguing if the rationale is to fulfill a political promise, colleagues should think about whether the outcome is politically intelligent. 

A new NPR-PBS Newshour-Marist poll released Wednesday showed that only 1 in 5 people approve of the Senate bill and only 35 percent of Republicans like it. 

In another nod to centrists, Republicans are talking about using the House formula for indexing the growth of Medicaid, which would make the bill more expensive but lower cuts to the program. 

Moderates have pointed out that the change would only add $12 billion to the bill’s costs.

But changing the formula would risk the support of Toomey, who has led the charge to curb Medicaid’s future growth.

Centrists are also pushing for a longer glide path for phasing out federal dollars that allowed 31 states to expand Medicaid.

The current draft would begin to scale down the federal portion beginning in 2021 and spread the phaseout over three years.  Moderates want a five-year phaseout instead.

An additional 14 million people have signed up for Medicaid under Obama’s expanded guidelines.  

On the conservative side, Sens. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzTexas Republicans slam White House over disaster relief request Dem rep: Trump disaster aid request is 'how you let America down again' Moore endorsements disappear from campaign website MORE (Texas) and Mike LeeMichael (Mike) Shumway LeeProminent conservative passes on Utah Senate bid Johnson says he will not support tax-reform bill Moore endorsements disappear from campaign website MORE (Utah) are pushing for a change that would allow insurers to sell plans that did not meet ObamaCare's regulations if they also sold plans that did.

They met with GOP leaders and the Senate parliamentarian on Thursday morning to discuss whether the change would be allowed under Senate rules.

One Senate aide said Cruz is telling colleague that “pre-existing conditions is my line in the sand,” threatening to sink the bill if it doesn’t repeal a regulation requiring companies to sell affordable health insurance to people regardless of their health conditions.

But there are serious policy concerns among much of the rest of the conference, which is worried that the change would mean insurers could sell plans without protections for people with pre-existing conditions.

McConnell told Republican senators at a private meeting earlier this month that he would “not touch pre-existing conditions” in the bill, the GOP aide noted.

Cruz did not raise a serious objection when the conference was informed of that leadership position, according to the aide.

Many Republican lawmakers are concerned that healthy people would flock to the cheaper plans without ObamaCare protections, while only sicker people would be left in the plans that remained under the ObamaCare regulations, driving up costs among that pool of people.

Thune said Cruz’s change “could” be included, but “it has to be structured in a way that ensures that the pools aren't adversely affected.”