By Dick Morris - 09/12/12 03:17 PM EDT
The teachers union will never recover from this strike in Chicago. If its demonstrations against Scott Walker were self-destructive, then the strike now unfolding is pure assisted suicide.
Of course, voters like the teachers union when it advocates for better schools but hate it when it strikes. And, of course, voters sympathize with teachers when they ask for more money, but are alienated when they seek to perpetuate tenure for incompetent teachers and to fight merit pay based on student performance.
But the worst news for the teachers union is that its strike is against a Democrat, not a Republican. Against Rahm Emanuel, a Democratic mayor closely identified with both Presidents Clinton and Obama. Against a Republican, people might figure the teachers have a case and are victims of GOP insensitivity or their desire to cut spending. Their opposition to Gov. Walker in Wisconsin and their inability to recall him attested to the limits of the union’s power but did not strain its credibility. But against a Democrat, the teachers union’s strike is marginalizing it and making its members seem like the far-out liberal loons they are.
At the same time, Emanuel is establishing the notion that pro-education, pro-teacher mainstream Democrats also want the reform of tenure, the adoption of merit pay and accountability and school choice. He is triangulating. On the one hand, we have Republicans whose commitment to education is, on the left, suspect. On the other hand, there are the unions that want no change and no accountability. And then there is Emanuel and his ilk of Democrats, who want reform without gutting public schools. It is this third way that will destroy the political plausibility of the teachers union.
For the moment, the strike forces Obama to choose between his voters and his donors, between his supporters and his field organization. The Democratic Party is largely owned by the teachers union. It is its financial pillar and its leading source of manpower, field organization and grassroots workers. If Obama sits out the strike having made such a big deal of his education agenda at his convention, he looks weak. If he sides with the teachers, he marginalizes himself. But if he backs Rahm, he will alienate the very forces he needs to get reelected.
The teachers strike — as long as it lasts — is a national spectacle of union suicide as surely as was the PATCO strike early in Reagan’s term.
Morris, a former adviser to Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) and President Bill ClintonBill ClintonObama to attend Shimon Peres funeral in Israel After the dust has settled: 5 takeaways from the first debate The Trillary dilemma MORE, is the author including 2010: Take Back America — A Battle Plan and Outrage, Fleeced and Catastrophe. To get all of his and Eileen McGann’s columns for free by email or to order a signed, advanced copy of his latest book Revolt!, go to dickmorris.com.