As well as things went for the GOP last week, establishment Republicans must know they could’ve gone a lot better. While the Tea Party folks may have brought renewed vigor and energy to the GOP, they also cost their party control of the Senate.
The most obvious flubs came in Colorado, Nevada and Delaware. In Colorado, appointed Sen. Michael BennetMichael BennetGOP hasn’t reached out to centrist Dem senators A guide to the committees: Senate Senate advances Trump's Commerce pick MORE eked out a single-point victory over Republican Tea Party favorite Ken Buck. While Colorado might be a purple state, Buck’s social extremism proved too much for his state’s electorate. GOP establishment favorite Gale Norton may have been a generic Republican, but generic Republicans cleaned up nationwide. She almost certainly would’ve taken the seat from the Democrats.
And in Nevada, Senate Majority Leader Harry ReidHarry ReidWill Republicans increase red tape in the healthcare industry? Sanders and Schumer are right: Ellison for DNC chair The Hill's 12:30 Report MORE (D) looked to be a dead man walking, until Sharron Angle arrived on the scene. A February Mason-Dixon poll showed Reid getting whooped 52-39 by Sue Lowden, a former chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Party. But when Angle — who hilariously proclaimed at a campaign stop that “Government isn’t what our Founding Fathers put into our Constitution” — edged Lowden in the primary, Reid’s moribund campaign was revived. Incumbents simply don’t survive reelect numbers in the 30s. But thanks to the Tea Party, Harry Reid did.
Had those three seats gone Republican, Democrats would still have controlled the 50-50 Senate, thanks to Joe BidenJoe BidenThe Hill's 12:30 Report New DNC chair Perez will attend Trump's speech as former rival's guest Lewandowski: Perez ‘doesn’t understand what’s going on in America’ MORE’s tiebreaking vote.
But Connecticut, too, could’ve swung to the GOP. Democratic nominee Dick Blumenthal was stung early on in a controversy over statements about his Vietnam War service. Had Republicans nominated war hero and former Rep. Rob Simmons, they likely would have parlayed Simmons’s history of winning in hostile Democratic-leaning territory and his military service into a serious run at the seat. Connecticut activists closed their ears to opportunity knocking, and opted for wrestling mogul Linda McMahon.
Yet the lousy candidates who lost are only half the story. Could a few more million dollars spent on the contested Washington or Colorado seats have made a difference? Maybe — but the GOP was forced to spend heavily in several states that should’ve been safe, cheap and easy pickups.
In Kentucky, Republicans and their allies spent at least $5 million to $6 million making sure extremist Rand PaulRand PaulGOP hasn’t reached out to centrist Dem senators Overnight Healthcare: GOP looks for ObamaCare path as right lashes out GOP looks for ObamaCare path as right lashes out MORE won his red-state seat. Had establishment pick Trey Grayson won the nomination, there wouldn’t have been much of a race, and that money could’ve gone elsewhere.
In Florida, establishment Republicans wanted Gov. Charlie Crist, but the Tea Party crowd pushed him into an Independent bid. While the GOP still held on to the seat, it cost the party and its allies $4 million to $6 million.
Establishment Republicans did luck out in Illinois, where the Feb. 2 primary was early enough that the Tea Party wasn’t able to mobilize against the relatively moderate Mark KirkMark KirkLeaked ObamaCare bill would defund Planned Parenthood GOP senator won't vote to defund Planned Parenthood The Hill's 12:30 Report MORE. He won Barack ObamaBarack ObamaHuntsman in talks to be US ambassador to Russia: report CNN faces backlash after all-male 'future of media' magazine cover Ivanka Trump pushed for family leave, environment in Trump speech: report MORE’s old seat by a sliver. And in New Hampshire, the establishment got its preferred candidate in Attorney General Kelly AyotteKelly AyotteLewandowski saw no evidence of voter fraud in New Hampshire NH governor 'not aware’ of major voter fraud Former NH AG: 'Allegations of voter fraud in NH are baseless' MORE, who cruised. Things might’ve looked different had the Tea Party crowd gotten its preferred candidates.
But the damage was real. Harry Reid is still majority leader, and still in the Senate, when by all indications, Senate Republicans should’ve followed their House counterparts into the majority.
Moulitsas is the founder of Daily Kos and author of American Taliban: How War, Sex, Sin and Power Bind Jihadists and the Radical Right.