By Steven J. Hudson - 06/09/09 06:48 PM EDT
While Republicans have not been successful in the past two elections, the Party of Lincoln and Reagan is poised for a dramatic comeback in 2010.
The comeback is imminent because people still believe in limited government, controlled spending and low taxes. They demand a strong national defense and protection from terrorism. They do not believe in socialism or totalitarianism. They want responsible, ethical government that does not infringe on their freedom.
Van Hollen simply wants to “hold the line” on Democratic House seats, but this will be an insurmountable task.
Recently, he identified 29 House seats occupied by vulnerable Republicans. However, I have identified 37 vulnerable House Democrats my research based on multiple criteria including previous margin of victory, historical trends, district demographics, anticipated voter turnout, and recent news or controversies.
Van Hollen may have to take a step back and redraw his line in 2010.
Of the 37 vulnerable Democrats, 23 hold seats that I consider Tier 1, or very likely to change to red: Reps. Michael Arcuri (N.Y.), John Boccieri (Ohio), Bobby Bright (Ala.), Travis Childers (Miss.), Steve Driehaus (Ohio), Alan Grayson (Fla.), Parker Griffith (Ala.), Paul Hodes (N.H.), Mary Jo Kilroy (Ohio), Larry Kissell (N.C.), Suzanne Kosmas (Fla.), Frank Kratovil (Md.), Betsy Markey (Colo.), Eric Massa (N.Y.), Scott Murphy (N.Y.), Walt Minnick (Idaho), Glenn Nye (Va.), Tom Perriello (Va.), Mark Schauer (Mich.), Carol Shea-Porter (N.H.), Vic Snyder (Ark.), Dana Titus (Nev.) and Paul Tonko (N.Y.).
The remaining 14 vulnerable Democrats hold seats that I have identified as Tier 2, or somewhat likely to flip: Reps. John Adler (N.J.), Jason Altmire (Pa.), John Barrow (Ga.), Chris Carney (Pa.), Gerry Connolly (Va.), Kathy Dahlkemper (Pa.), Chet Edwards (Texas), Paul Kanjorski (Pa.), Mike McMahon (N.Y.), Harry Mitchell (Ariz.), John Murtha (Pa.), Chris Murphy (Conn.), Harry Teague (N.M.) and Van Hollen.
Some Americans believe Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.) mishandling of the issue of enhanced interrogation techniques and her press conference meltdown will cost the Democrats seats in 2010. Beyond that issue, Van Hollen has his work cut out for him, including defending his own seat. Vulnerable Democrats see the troubled road ahead, as they have been voting with Republicans on issues important to Americans, including congressional ethics reform.
Silver Spring, Md.
Hudson, M.D., J.D., M.P.A., was the 2008 Republican nominee for Maryland’s 8th district, won by Van Hollen, and has formed an exploratory committee for a 2010 run.
Watch Sarah cook
From Frank Barnett
(Regarding article “Palin beginning to irritate some Senate GOPers,” June 9.) President Obama is getting himself in hot water very fast. You’ve heard the expression, “If you can’t stand the heat, get out of the kitchen” — well, he’d better get out of the kitchen because he doesn’t know what he’s doing. This is no place for on-the-job training.
Once he’s gone — well, here’s another old expression — “A woman’s place is in the kitchen.” That’s where Sarah belongs: in the kitchen that’s too hot for Obama.
I think she has what it takes to lead us back to greatness. The fact that some of the major players in the GOP don’t like her is just one more reason to support her. Remember, they gave us John McCain.
Put Sarah in our national kitchen and watch her cook.