Gillibrand moves closer to 51 votes on sex assault measure

The race is on to 51 votes.

Sen. Kirsten GillibrandKirsten Elizabeth GillibrandDemocrats turn on Al Franken Report: Franken will resign Thursday Minnesota's largest newspaper calls on Franken to resign MORE (D-N.Y.) is closing in on winning a majority of senators to back legislation to remove sexual assault cases from the chain of command — sparking a scramble from her opponents to blunt her offensive.

Gillibrand has secured support from 44 senators who have co-sponsored her measure or publicly backed it, this week adding Sens. Mark KirkMark KirkHigh stakes as Trump heads to Hill Five things to watch for at Trump-Senate GOP meeting Giffords, Scalise highlight party differences on guns MORE (R-Ill.) and Michael BennetMichael Farrand BennetAvalanche of Democratic senators say Franken should resign GOP and Dems bitterly divided by immigration Schumer downplays shutdown chances over DACA fight MORE (D-Colo.).

Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl LevinCarl LevinCongress: The sleeping watchdog Congress must not give companies tax reasons to move jobs overseas A lesson on abuse of power by Obama and his Senate allies MORE (D-Mich.) and Sen. Claire McCaskillClaire Conner McCaskillDemocrats turn on Al Franken Trump rips Dems a day ahead of key White House meeting The Hill's 12:30 Report MORE (D-Mo.) — the chief authors of an alternative proposal — both fired back against Gillibrand’s bill.

Levin released letters from senior military officials that rebutted two of Gillibrand’s arguments, while McCaskill convened a press conference on Thursday flanked by retired female service members to highlight their opposition to the New York senator’s measure.

“It’s important that the other side of this story be made, and that the facts be known,” Levin told The Hill.

In response, Gillibrand’s office has touted endorsements from newspaper editorial boards and sexual assault victims’ advocates. Her office sent out a fact sheet after McCaskill’s press conference saying it was “more of the same” from her opponents.

As the dispute escalates, both sides are rushing to persuade senators who remain on the fence.

Gillibrand’s opponents say they are seeking to correct a misperception that the New York senator's legislation is the only way to help victims of military sexual assault.

“This has been a narrative that’s developed that this is victims versus uniforms,” McCaskill said Thursday, referring to military officials who are staunchly opposed to Gillibrand’s bill. “That’s just not true.”

Gillibrand’s backers, meanwhile, have targeted McCaskill, accusing her of supporting the status quo and military leaders.

Protect Our Defenders, a victims’ advocacy group, ran an advertisement in the St. Louis Post-Dispatch where Terri Odom, a sexual assault victim, wrote an open letter urging McCaskill to support removing cases from the chain of command.

“Without your support, perpetrators may continue to go free; victims will be too afraid to come forward; and our military readiness will suffer,” Odom wrote.

McCaskill said Thursday that the line of criticism gave her a “stomachache,” and has said that no one is fighting harder to stamp out sexual assault in the military than she is.

The fight over how to curb a rise in sexual assaults in the military was sparked by bipartisan outrage over the issue this year after a Pentagon report estimated there were 26,000 assaults last year, an increase from 19,000 in 2010.

There has been agreement reached on a number of reforms, including changes to the judicial code and increased protections for victims. But the chain of command issue has been the major sticking point.

Gillibrand’s legislation would remove the decision to prosecute most criminal cases from commanders and give it to military prosecutors. She and her supporters argue the move is necessary because victims aren’t reporting cases to their commanders for fear of retaliation.

Opponents of Gillibrand’s measure, however, say that taking the responsibility to prosecute cases from commanders will deprive them of a key tool to change the military’s culture.

This week the debate shifted to a dispute over the impact that removing the chain of command had on foreign militaries. 

Levin’s Pentagon letter said that doing so hadn’t increased sexual assault prosecution rates among allied militaries, but Gillibrand’s office pointed to reports that the Israeli military had seen major gains.

The heart of Gillibrand’s legislation was stripped from the Defense authorization bill last month, and it was replaced in a 19-7 vote with an alternative from Levin and McCaskill. Their proposal adds new layers of review in sexual assault cases that a commander chooses not to prosecute.

Gillibrand vowed to fight on and bring her proposal to the floor as an amendment, and she has methodically worked to convince her colleagues to join her.

Her coalition of 44 backers does not fall neatly along the political spectrum: It includes libertarian Sen. Rand PaulRandal (Rand) Howard PaulLexington mayor launches bid for Congress Trump-free Kennedy Center Honors avoids politics Meet the Iran hawk who could be Trump's next secretary of State MORE (R-Ky.), Kirk, a hawkish Republican, and liberal Sen. Bernie SandersBernard (Bernie) SandersSchumer: Franken should resign Franken resignation could upend Minnesota races Avalanche of Democratic senators say Franken should resign MORE (I-Vt.).

Two key voices that could tip the balance have not weighed in. While the Pentagon is on record in opposition to Gillibrand’s bill, the White House has not taken a position, saying only that President Obama supports all efforts to fix the problem.

Senate Majority Leader Harry ReidHarry ReidBill O'Reilly: Politics helped kill Kate Steinle, Zarate just pulled the trigger Tax reform is nightmare Déjà vu for Puerto Rico Ex-Obama and Reid staffers: McConnell would pretend to be busy to avoid meeting with Obama MORE (D-Nev.), who will decide when the Defense authorization bill comes to the floor, has also not endorsed either proposal. McCaskill and Sen. Kelly AyotteKelly Ann AyotteExplaining Democratic victories: It’s gun violence, stupid Trump voter fraud panel member fights back against critics Dems plan to make gun control an issue in Nevada MORE (R-N.H.), who appeared at McCaskill’s press conference Thursday, are leading the lobbying effort against Gillibrand’s measure.

McCaskill suggested Thursday that she will try to change the minds of some senators who have pledged to support Gillibrand’s bill.

“I believe that a lot of senators are confused at this point,” McCaskill said.

But Gillibrand spokesman Glen Caplin said that the New York senator expects to continue amassing votes as she lobbies her colleagues.

“We think we will gain people as more people look closely at the issue and as more people listen directly to victims themselves,” Caplin said.