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Trump: GOP health plan will bring 'real healthcare' and 'tumbling' premiums

President Trump said that the GOP healthcare plan will lead to cheaper premiums and "real healthcare" in a Twitter message Monday.

A report from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office released last month showed that under the House GOP leadership's American Health Care Act (AHCA), which Trump supported, average premiums for single people buying insurance in the individual market would drop 10 percent by 2026. 

But premiums for older and low-income people could be higher than they currently are under ObamaCare. That's because, as the bill stands, insurers would be able to charge older people five times more than younger people, and tax credits would be based on age, not income. 

Changes being discussed to the AHCA currently could also cause higher costs for people with pre-existing conditions. 

Various analyses, including a report from Standard & Poor's, have also disputed claims that ObamaCare is in a "death spiral." 

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The report found that while the market is not yet fully stable, more insurers will soon be making money on the exchanges if the law does not undergo drastic change.

Congress returns from a two-week recess Tuesday, and members are expected to revive talks on the GOP's ObamaCare replacement plan. 

Speaker Paul RyanPaul Davis RyanRepublicans are avoiding gun talks as election looms The Hill's 12:30 Report Flake to try to force vote on DACA stopgap plan MORE (R-Wis.) told members Saturday during a conference call that a deal between centrists and conservatives is close, but there would be no vote until it's certain there are enough votes to pass the legislation. 

The AHCA was pulled from the House floor last month because it didn't have enough votes to pass. 

Since then, conservative and moderate Republicans have tried to find common ground on the legislation but have made little progress. 

Rep. Tom MacArthur (R-N.J.), co-chairman of the moderate Tuesday Group, and Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), chairman of the conservative Freedom Caucus, have been in discussions throughout recess working on an amendment they say will bring people together. 

The MacArthur amendment would allow states to waive ObamaCare's "community rating" requirement that bans insurers from charging sick people more for coverage — as long as the state has a high-risk pool for people priced out of the health insurance market. 

It would also allow states to waive ObamaCare's essential health benefits, which mandate what services insurers must cover in their insurance plans such as mental healthcare and the cost of some prescription drugs. 

It's unclear if those changes are enough to help Republicans get enough votes, but some moderate Republicans, including Reps. Frank LoBiondo (N.J.) and Dan Donovan (N.Y.), have said they are still plan to vote no on the bill.