District by district - Virginia

Virginia-2

Rep. Glenn Nye (D) vs. Scott Rigell (R)

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Nye is in a tough race to keep his seat, according to The Hill/ANGA poll. He’s down by six points, 36 percent to Rigell’s 42. Nineteen percent of likely voters remain undecided.

The poll found that 26 percent of independents say they are undecided, which makes them a key factor in the race. Independents who have made up their minds are almost evenly divided between the two candidates.

Rigell has touted his ties to the Tea Party movement but, overall among independent voters, only 18 percent said Tea Party ties would make them more likely to vote for a candidate; 78 percent said it would not make them more likely to support such a candidate. Overall, 44 percent of independent voters have an unfavorable view of the Tea Party.

But independent voters also believe, 52 percent to 26, that the presidency and Congress should be controlled by different parties.

Voter apathy could also prove a problem for Nye. Only 64 percent of Democrats say they are “very passionate” about voting in November, compared to 83 percent of Republicans and 66 percent of independents.

The poll was conducted Sept. 25-27, consisted of 397 phone interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.


Virginia-5

Rep. Tom Perriello (D) vs. Robert Hurt (R)

The Hill/ANGA poll found that Perriello trails Hurt by a single point — 44 percent to 45 — with 9 percent of likely voters undecided.

Perriello still has time to turn it around, but he’ll have to do it with two key groups — women and independents. These groups remain the largest bloc of undecided voters, with 11 percent of women and 13 percent of independents undecided.

Voter enthusiasm could present a problem for Perriello: 80 percent of Republicans say they are “very passionate” about voting, while only 68 percent of Democrats describe themselves that way.

President Obama could be an albatross for his fellow Democrat this cycle. A majority of voters (54 percent) disapprove of the president’s performance and, by a 3-to-1 ratio, respondents said their opinion of Obama will influence their vote this November.

The poll was conducted Sept. 28-30, consisted of 403 phone interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.


The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories

About the poll

GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight

Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election

Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican

Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines

Editorial: Knowing who will win

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