District by district - Michigan

Michigan-7

Rep. Mark Schauer (D) vs. Tim Walberg (R)

Schauer is in a dead heat with Walberg, a former member of the House, with both men holding 41 percent of the vote. Thirteen percent of likely voters remain undecided.

Schauer leads among female voters while Walberg leads among males. And with Democrats and Republicans split down party lines, independents will be a key factor in this race.

The poll found 19 percent of independents are undecided, compared to 8 percent of Republicans and 6 percent of Democrats. And in what could be bad news for Schauer, 82 percent of independents disapprove of the job Congress is doing.

Another possible challenge for Schauer is the makeup of undecided voters, who tend to be male and Republican. More men than women said they are likely to vote, and voter enthusiasm is also higher among Republicans: 85 percent of them said they are “very passionate” about voting, compared to 70 percent of Democrats.

The poll was conducted Sept. 25-27, consisted of 404 phone interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.