District by district - Tennessee

TENNESSEE-08

Republican candidate up by 10 points in Dem seat

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Farmer and gospel singer Stephen Fincher was one of the National Republican Congressional Committee’s top recruits, and he’s performing like it.

The Hill’s 2010 Midterm Election Poll shows him leading Democrat Roy Herron by 10 points in the race for retiring Rep. John Tanner’s (D) seat. And 14 percent of likely voters are undecided.

Independents are breaking for Fincher 53 percent to 23, although 20 percent say they remain undecided. The bad news for Herron is that 70 percent of independents said their negative view of President Obama will influence their vote in November.

Another obstacle for Herron is the 30 percent of respondents who said they had a negative view of him. That’s likely a result of the $568,432 the NRCC has spent on TV ads against him. Herron has run contrast spots against Fincher, but the Republican’s unfavorable rating is only at 20 percent by comparison.

Fincher is leading among male and female voters, while younger voters are breaking toward Herron.

The Hill’s poll was conducted Oct. 2-7, surveyed 416 likely voters via the telephone and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

- Voters more likely to see Dems as dominated by extremists
- Independents prefer cutting the deficit to spending on jobs
- Democrats have edge on question of extending Bush tax cuts
- Republicans are up in 8 of 10 open House seats
- After forty Dem years, Obey’s seat in jeopardy
- Majority of voters say they want a viable third party
- District by district
- Data: The numbers the stories are based on
- Editorial: The results so far

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The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

- Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
- Tea Party is firing up the Democrats
- Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election
- About the poll
- GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight
- Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election
- Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican
- Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines
- Editorial: Knowing who will win

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