District by district - Pennsylvania


Single point separates the candidates

In the race to fill the seat of Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Pa.), Republican Patrick Meehan leads Democrat Bryan Lentz by just a single point — 40 percent to 39. And 20 percent of likely voters remain undecided in this district, according to The Hill’s 2010 Midterm Election Poll.

It’s a historically Republican district that has been trending Democratic in recent cycles. In 2008, President Obama won the district by 13 percent, and he still enjoys strong marks, with 56 percent approving of his job performance. Fifty-three percent of independents approve of the president, too.

That could be good news for Lentz, given that independent voters will likely be the margin in this district come Election Day. Right now, independents lean toward Meehan, 37 percent to 32. But 29 percent of independents remain undecided.

Independent voters in the 7th district tend to be white males over the age of 55. That demographic is currently breaking for Meehan — 44 percent to 37.

Lentz has a slight edge among female voters and younger voters.

The NRCC has spent around $220,000 in this district.

The Hill’s poll was conducted Oct. 2-7, surveyed 405 likely voters via the telephone and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

- Voters more likely to see Dems as dominated by extremists
- Independents prefer cutting the deficit to spending on jobs
- Democrats have edge on question of extending Bush tax cuts
- Republicans are up in 8 of 10 open House seats
- After forty Dem years, Obey’s seat in jeopardy
- Majority of voters say they want a viable third party
- District by district
- Data: The numbers the stories are based on
- Editorial: The results so far

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district results

West Virginia
New Hampshire

The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

- Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
- Tea Party is firing up the Democrats
- Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election
- About the poll
- GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight
- Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election
- Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican
- Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines
- Editorial: Knowing who will win

District by
district results

New Mexico