District by district - New Hampshire

NEW HAMPSHIRE-02

Former GOP member has small lead in battle to retake his seat

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Ex-Rep. Charlie Bass (R-N.H.) wants his old seat back, but an unlikely Democrat might stand in his way.

Ann McLane Kuster, who ran to the left in the Democratic primary in order to win the nomination, is now just three points behind Bass, trailing 45 percent to 42 with 9 percent of likely voters undecided, according to The Hill’s 2010 Midterm Election Poll.

Kuster has received significant support and fundraising assistance from liberal activists across the country and currently leads Bass among independents in the district, 43 percent to 40.

Approval of President Obama in this district is split evenly, with 49 approving of his job performance and 49 disapproving, but independents rate him slightly better, at 52 percent.

Bass is also cutting into Kuster’s base, taking the vote of 12 percent of Democrats in the poll. While Kuster trails big with male voters — Bass gets 52 percent to her 36 — she leads by 10 percentage points among females. Kuster’s strength is with younger voters, while Bass does well with older ones.

The current seat holder, Rep. Paul Hodes (D), is running for Senate. Hodes defeated Bass by six points to take the seat in 2006.

The NRCC has spent around $165,000 in this district, while the DCCC has spent about $105,000.

The Hill’s poll was conducted Oct. 5-7, surveyed 407 likely voters via the telephone and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

- Voters more likely to see Dems as dominated by extremists
- Independents prefer cutting the deficit to spending on jobs
- Democrats have edge on question of extending Bush tax cuts
- Republicans are up in 8 of 10 open House seats
- After forty Dem years, Obey’s seat in jeopardy
- Majority of voters say they want a viable third party
- District by district
- Data: The numbers the stories are based on
- Editorial: The results so far

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The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

- Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
- Tea Party is firing up the Democrats
- Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election
- About the poll
- GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight
- Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election
- Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican
- Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines
- Editorial: Knowing who will win

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