District by district - Arkansas

ARKANSAS-01

Republicans could end Dems’ 100-year lock on this seat

Democrats have held this seat for over a century, but Rep. Marion Berry’s (D-Ark.) retirement could mark the end of the party’s reign.

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The Hill’s 2010 Midterm Election Poll found that Republican Rick Crawford leads by 12 points, 46 percent to 34. Seventeen percent of likely voters are undecided.

Democrat Chad Causey, a former Berry staffer, faces his widest gap among independent voters, who support Crawford 51 percent to 24.

Crawford, a former Army sergeant who now owns a farm-news network, leads among male and female voters and with voters across all age groups.

This seat has been trending Republican: John McCain won it with 59 percent in 2008. And President Obama gets low marks from voters — 62 percent disapprove of the job he’s doing. Congressional disapproval is even higher — 76 percent think Congress is doing a bad job.

And 70 percent of voters said the president would be a factor in their 2010 decision.

Also, a majority of voters, 39 percent, said they have a better view of President George W. Bush now than they had when he first left office. Only 27 percent had a worse view, and 30 percent said they saw him “about the same.”

The NRCC has spent around $337,000 in this district, while the DCCC has spent about $304,000.

The Hill’s poll was conducted Oct. 5-7, surveyed 409 likely voters via the telephone and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

- Voters more likely to see Dems as dominated by extremists
- Independents prefer cutting the deficit to spending on jobs
- Democrats have edge on question of extending Bush tax cuts
- Republicans are up in 8 of 10 open House seats
- After forty Dem years, Obey’s seat in jeopardy
- Majority of voters say they want a viable third party
- District by district
- Data: The numbers the stories are based on
- Editorial: The results so far

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The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

- Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
- Tea Party is firing up the Democrats
- Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election
- About the poll
- GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight
- Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election
- Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican
- Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines
- Editorial: Knowing who will win

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