By The Hill Staff - 10/27/10 02:00 AM EDT
Rep. Kanjorski down by five
Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Pa.) trails Republican Lou BarlettaLou BarlettaSigns of change from Trump Poor polling highlights Trump challenges in swing states Trump aims to win over GOP with Pence pick MORE, 43 percent to 48, in The Hill 2010 Midterm Election Poll, with 8 percent of likely voters undecided.
are split on their opinion of the incumbent: Forty-seven percent rate
him favorably, while 47 percent rate him unfavorably. Barletta has 52
percent favorability, with 38 percent giving him low marks.
has faced Barletta twice before — in 2002 and 2008. In 2002, he beat
him by 13 points. And, in 2008, polls showed Kanjorski trailing
Barletta by as many as five points, but he won by four points in the
Kanjorski is No. 2 on the
House Financial Services Committee and is known for his ability to
bring money to the district. The New York Times called him a “master of
That could come back to hurt him. When asked
if they’d rather have a member of Congress who’d cut spending or one
who would bring benefits to the district, 55 percent said they’d prefer
a lawmaker who cut spending while 39 percent said they’d prefer
President Obama carried the district in 2008, but
51 percent gave him low marks. And 67 percent said the president will
be an important factor in their decision this year.
has attacked the 13-term incumbent for his length of service. In a
Barletta campaign ad, the narrator states: “Know a guy who wears out
his welcome? Paul Kanjorski has just been around too long.” It may
prove an effective message; 46 percent said Kanjorski’s time in
Washington is a reason to vote against him.
brought in the big guns in the form of former President Clinton and
Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenThe Trail 2016: Trump works to widen his appeal State Dept: Turkey's extradition request unrelated to coup attempt State: Turkey has submitted 'formal' extradition request for cleric MORE to campaign for him. He’s also outraised and
outspent Barletta, but the Republican Party has outspent the Democratic
The NRCC has spent around $901,000 on this race, while the DCCC has spent more than $400,000.
The Hill poll was conducted Oct. 19-21 by Penn Schoen Berland. The survey consisted of 402 phone interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.