District by district - North Dakota

NORTH DAKOTA-AT LARGE


One point is all it takes

Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D-N.D.) leads Republican Rick Berg by one point, 45 percent to 44 percent, with 9 percent of likely voters undecided, according to The Hill 2010 Midterm Election Poll.

ADVERTISEMENT
Independents are breaking for Pomeroy by 15 points. He leads among female and older voters, while Berg leads among male, younger and middle-aged voters.

Voters seem to have equal rates of enthusiasm — 93 percent of Republicans said they are passionate about voting, while 94 percent of Democrats said the same.

They also rate the candidates equally: Both Pomeroy and Berg got a 49 percent favorability rating. Pomeroy’s negatives were a bit higher: He had 44 percent to Berg’s 31.

Pomeroy is a target in this red state. But in the last two elections, he won with more than 60 percent of the vote. And a plurality of voters — 45 percent — said his time in Washington was a reason to vote for him.

Berg, a state representative, is running his first statewide campaign, while Pomeroy is a nine-term incumbent. But Pomeroy, a Blue Dog Democrat, voted in favor of healthcare reform, which could hurt him. Another factor in this race could be popular Republican Gov. John Hoeven, who’s running for the Senate. He’s favored to win and could bring out GOP voters.

Social Security has been an issue in this race. Pomeroy is the chairman of the Social Security subcommittee of the House Ways and Means Committee. He has criticized Republican plans for the program, claiming they would reduce benefits. That could prove a popular stance, since 67 percent of voters said they do not want cuts to programs like Social Security and Medicaid.

Both parties have invested heavily here: The DCCC has spent about $501,000, while the NRCC has spent around $1.1 million.

The Hill poll was conducted Oct. 16-19 by Penn Schoen Berland. The survey consisted of 398 phone interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 4

- Looming anti-Obama midterm vote may not carry through to 2012
- Likely voters throw a wrench into GOP budget plans
- This campaign is the nastiest, voters say
- Blowout: 50 or more Dem seats set to fall
- Endangered species: Longterm incumbents
- GOP tsunami ready to sweep the South
- District by district
- Data: The numbers the stories are based on
- Editorial: Dems in deep danger

District by
district results

Colorado
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Iowa
North Dakota
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
South Dakota
Texas

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 3

- Pelosi ‘majority makers’ are facing electoral peril
- Only 1-in-4 see American Dream as still there for all
- Voters are not worried about ‘extreme’ label on candidates
- District by district
- Data: The numbers the stories are based on
- Editorial: Election tides

District by
district results

Arizona
Illinois
Mississippi
New Hampshire
New York
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

- Voters more likely to see Dems as dominated by extremists
- Independents prefer cutting the deficit to spending on jobs
- Democrats have edge on question of extending Bush tax cuts
- Republicans are up in 8 of 10 open House seats
- After forty Dem years, Obey’s seat in jeopardy
- Majority of voters say they want a viable third party
- District by district
- Data: The numbers the stories are based on
- Editorial: The results so far

District by
district results

Arkansas
Illinois
West Virginia
Hawaii
New Hampshire

Pennsylvania
Michigan

Tennessee
Washington

The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

- Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
- Tea Party is firing up the Democrats
- Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election
- About the poll
- GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight
- Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election
- Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican
- Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines
- Editorial: Knowing who will win

District by
district results

Arizona
Colorado
Illinois
Maryland
Michigan
Nevada
New Mexico
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Virginia

More in News

Killing of three Muslims in Chapel Hill sparks an outcry

Read more »