District by district - Indiana

INDIANA-09

Rep. Hill leads by two

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Rep. Baron Hill (D-Ind.) holds a slim, two-point lead, 46 percent to 44, against Republican Todd Young, with 9 percent of likely voters undecided, according to The Hill 2010 Midterm Election Poll.


Hill is leading among female, younger and older voters. He’s also getting 12 percent of support from Republicans, which could be making up for the fact that Young is winning independents and men.

Hill gets good marks from his constituents, with 49 percent rating him favorably. The Blue Dog Democrat could also be benefiting from his reputation as a fiscal hawk. When asked if they’d rather have a member of Congress who’d cut spending or one who would bring benefits to the district, 52 percent said they’d prefer a lawmaker who cut spending while 39 percent held the opposing view.

The five-term incumbent has a mixed track record in this GOP-leaning district. Hill won the seat in 1998, lost it in 2004 and won it again in 2006. His persistence may have come from Milan High School, the school in his district that inspired the movie “Hoosiers.”

The Hill poll was conducted Oct. 16-19 by Penn Schoen Berland. The survey consisted of 400 phone interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 4

Blowout: 50 or more Dem seats set to fall
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GOP tsunami ready to sweep the South
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Data: The numbers the stories are based on
Editorial: Dems in deep danger

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The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 3

Pelosi ‘majority makers’ are facing electoral peril
Only 1-in-4 see American Dream as still there for all
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Data: The numbers the stories are based on
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Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

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Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

- Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
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- Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election
- About the poll
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