Rep. Hill leads by two
is leading among female, younger and older voters. He’s also getting 12
percent of support from Republicans, which could be making up for the
fact that Young is winning independents and men.
good marks from his constituents, with 49 percent rating him favorably.
The Blue Dog Democrat could also be benefiting from his reputation as a
fiscal hawk. When asked if they’d rather have a member of Congress
who’d cut spending or one who would bring benefits to the district, 52
percent said they’d prefer a lawmaker who cut spending while 39 percent
held the opposing view.
The five-term incumbent has a mixed
track record in this GOP-leaning district. Hill won the seat in 1998,
lost it in 2004 and won it again in 2006. His persistence may have come
from Milan High School, the school in his district that inspired the
The Hill poll was conducted Oct. 16-19 by
Penn Schoen Berland. The survey consisted of 400 phone interviews among
likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.