Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzOvernight Health Care — Presented by Carequest — Colin Powell's death highlights risks for immunocompromised The Senate confirmation process is broken — Senate Democrats can fix it Australian politician on Cruz, vaccines: 'We don't need your lectures, thanks mate' MORE leads the GOP field by double digits in Texas, a must-win for the home-state senator as he seeks to catch up with front-runner Donald TrumpDonald TrumpTrump defends indicted GOP congressman House to vote Thursday on holding Bannon in contempt Youngkin calls for investigation into Loudoun County School Board amid sexual assault allegations MORE.
A Monmouth University survey released on Thursday found Cruz taking 38 percent support, followed by Donald Trump at 23 percent and Sen. Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioRepublicans would need a promotion to be 'paper tigers' Defense & National Security — Military starts giving guidance on COVID-19 vaccine refusals Blinken pressed to fill empty post overseeing 'Havana syndrome' MORE (Fla.) at 21 percent.
A handful of other Texas surveys released in recent days have shown Cruz with a smaller lead. He has a 7.2-point advantage over Trump in Texas, according to the RealClearPolitics average.
“Cruz looks to be well-positioned in Texas,” said Monmouth pollster Patrick Murray. “The challenge for him is that a lot of other states are also on the slate for Super Tuesday.”
Texas and 10 other states will cast ballots in five days on March 1, when nearly a quarter of all delegates will be awarded.
The Lone Star State is by far the biggest prize, with 155 delegates up for grabs. Those delegates will be allocated proportionately, so even if Cruz pulls away from the field as this poll suggests, Trump and Rubio appear primed to at least make a dent in his haul.
Rounding out the field in Texas are Ben Carson at 6 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 5 percent.
Texas allows for early voting, and it appears that Cruz is harvesting votes from his lead in the polls.
Eighteen percent of Texas Republicans surveyed said they’ve already voted, with 44 voting for Cruz.
On the Democratic side, Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonTrump defends indicted GOP congressman GOP lawmaker says he expects to be indicted over FBI investigation Why it's time for conservatives to accept the 2020 election results and move on MORE is crushing Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersWhite House: Window for finalizing sweeping budget package 'closing' Jayapal says tuition-free community college 'probably won't' be in spending plan Progressives see budget deal getting close after Biden meeting MORE (I-Vt.), 64 to 30, in the Lone Star State.
The former secretary of State is running up the score on Sanders among black voters 81 to 8, among Latinos 68 to 32, and among women 75 to 19.
She also has a small lead among men and a 10-point advantage among the younger voters who have so far fueled Sanders’s candidacy.
The Monmouth survey of 456 likely Republican primary voters was conducted between Feb. 22 and Feb. 24 and has a 4.6-point margin of error. The Democratic survey of 304 likely voters has a 5.6-point margin of error.