Welcome to THE TRAIL 2016, your daily rundown from The Hill on all the latest news in the White House, Senate and House races. 

Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpDemocrats ask if they have reason to worry about UK result Trump scramble to rack up accomplishments gives conservatives heartburn Seven years after Sandy Hook, the politics of guns has changed MORE on Monday parted ways with embattled campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, a controversial figure who had been a key member of his inner circle from the start. 

The abrupt change at the top comes as Trump has fallen behind Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonMore than 200,000 Wisconsin voters will be removed from the rolls Trump is threatening to boycott the debates — here's how to make sure he shows up Trey Gowdy returns to Fox News as contributor MORE in the polls and faces increasing doubts from some quarters of the party that he can pull together a viable general election campaign.

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Lewandowski, a sharp-edged and unapologetic spokesman who earned Trump’s trust by virtue of his loyalty, had clashed for months with campaign chairman Paul Manafort, a political veteran brought in to bolster the campaign’s insider game. 

There are reports that Trump’s daughter, Ivanka Trump, and his other children may have played a role in ousting him. 

In a stunning interview just hours after word had spread that he was out, Lewandowski remained loyal to Trump, fiercely defending the campaign that had just sent him packing.

The turmoil has Trump’s allies on Capitol Hill frustrated and on edge.

Conservative lawyer Charlie Spies writes for The Hill that the tumult is evidence the Trump campaign has regressed. Ben Carson’s adviser, Armstrong Williams, argues that the firing won’t solve the problems Trump faces going forward.

Stay with The Hill as this story continues to develop. Check back Tuesday for stories on how Trump faces a reckoning with evangelical Christians this week, and how the White House is increasingly engaging in the 2016 election.

 

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RACE TO 1600 PENN 

LAST DITCH: The Hill’s Jesse Byrnes reports: Organizers are claiming that about 1,000 people participated in a call on Sunday night to discuss how to steal the nomination from Donald Trump at the convention. 

UNDER OATH: The Hill’s Julian Hattem reports: The man believed to be responsible for setting up Hillary Clinton’s private email server will be deposed this week after a more than two-week delay. 

MEDIA PRIMARY: The Hill’s Niall Stanage reports: The 2016 cycle has produced a bevy of winners and losers in the media sphere.

 

ODDS AND ENDS: 

NO CONFIDENCE: The Hill’s Caitlin Yilek reports: Republican Sen. Lindsey GrahamLindsey Olin GrahamTrump: 'I wouldn't mind' a long Senate impeachment process Poll finds Graham with just 2-point lead on Democratic challenger Hill editor-in-chief calls IG report 'a game-changer' MORE (S.C.) says the next president will “most likely” be a woman. 

ANALYSIS: The Hill’s Peter Schroeder reports: Donald Trump’s economic proposals would stifle economic growth, cost millions of jobs and start a recession, according to a Moody’s Analytics review. 

UNCLE JOE: The Hill’s Julian Hattem reports: Vice President Biden ripped Donald Trump’s foreign policy as “empty bluster” and the “insecurity of a bully” on Monday. 

WALKING IT BACK: The Hill’s Jesse Byrnes reports: Donald Trump changed his position that club-goers in Orlando would have been better-off armed after blowback from the NRA.

 

POLL POSITION 

CLINTON LEADS: The Hill’s Jonathan Easley reports: Hillary Clinton has a comfortable advantage over Donald Trump nationally, and in the 10 battleground states that were decided by fewer than 7 points in 2012, a new poll finds.

SATISFIED?: The Hill’s Rebecca Savransky reports: Democrats are more satisfied with their candidate than Republicans are with theirs, according to a new poll.

 

THE DAILY TRUMP 

LAST WORD: The Hill’s Jesse Byrnes reports: Michelle Fields, the Breitbart reporter who accused Lewandowski of battery earlier this year, needled the former campaign manager on Twitter. 

TWEETS HAVE CONSEQUENCES: The Hill’s Jonathan Easley reports: A Trump adviser who who celebrated Lewandowski’s firing resigned shortly after. 

STILL HERE: The Hill’s David McCabe reports: Billionaire Trump delegate Peter Thiel has been reelected to Facebook’s board of directors. 

NOT A FAN: The Hill’s Mark Hensch reports: J.K. Rowling, the author of the Harry Potter books, thinks Donald Trump is a fascist.

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QUOTE OF THE DAY 

I think I'm a very intense person and my expectation is perfection, because I think that's what Mr. Trump deserves.” 

-- Trump’s former campaign manager Corey Lewandowski on CNN just hours after he and the campaign parted ways.

 

CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNS 

FLORIDA HOUSE: The Hill’s Jordan Fabian reports: President Obama endorsed former Florida Gov. Charlie Crist, who is running against Rep. David Jolly (R-Fla.). 

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NEW HAMPSHIRE SENATE: The Hill’s Tim Devaney reports: The group started by former Rep. Gabby Giffords is ramping up pressure on vulnerable Republican incumbent Sen. Kelly AyotteKelly Ann AyotteGOP fears Trump backlash in suburbs Trump makes rare trip to Clinton state, hoping to win back New Hampshire Key endorsements: A who's who in early states MORE (R-N.H.) ahead of several gun control votes. 

ADDING TO THEIR RANKS: The Hill’s Patricia Guadalupe reports: Hispanic leaders are looking to add to their numbers in Congress.

 

MONEY WATCH 

SUPER PAC RAKES IT IN: The Hill’s Mark Hensch reports: The largest super-PAC backing Hillary Clinton brought in $12.1 million last month. 

AIRWAVE WARS: The Hill’s Rebecca Savransky reports: Hillary Clinton will begin running ads in the Orlando market after canceling an ad buy in the wake of the terrorist attack there.

 

WHAT WE ARE WATCHING FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW:

(All times Eastern)

Donald Trump has a closed-door meeting with social conservatives and evangelical leaders at the Marriott Marquis hotel in Times Square on Tuesday morning. Trump will meet with a select group of Christian leaders early in the morning, and later will hold what is essentially a panel discussion with hundreds of social conservative activists. Both are closed to the press, but several of those involved will hold a press conference at 3:30 p.m. EST to discuss the events. 

Hillary Clinton delivers a speech on the economy in Columbus, Ohio, at 11:30 a.m. on Tuesday.

 

TWEET OF THE DAY

 

Write us with tips, suggestions and news: Jonathan Easley, Ben KamisarJonathan Swan, Lisa Hagen. 

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