Gerrymandering is as much about shoring up vulnerable incumbents as it is targeting the other party, and with a huge House freshman class and control of the majority of statehouses, the GOP is looking to protect its own.
 
While some Democratic incumbents stand to benefit from redistricting, most of the lucky incumbents are Republicans. Many big states, including New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Washington have yet to finish their redistricting plans — and in all those states incumbents stand to benefit from the new maps. At this point, here are the top 10 House incumbents most likely to benefit from redistricting:
 
10. Rep. Todd YoungTodd Christopher YoungSaudis 'obscuring' journalist disappearance, GOP senator tells Hill.TV Overnight Defense — Presented by The Embassy of the United Arab Emirates — Missing journalist strains US-Saudi ties | Senators push Trump to open investigation | Trump speaks with Saudi officials | New questions over support for Saudi coalition in Yemen Senators demand answers on Trump administration backing of Saudi coalition in Yemen MORE (R-Ind.)
Young beat then-Rep. Baron Hill (D) in a Republican-leaning Southern Indiana district Hill had held from 1999 to 2005 and then again from 2007 to 2011. During redistricting, which was controlled by the GOP, his allies in the state legislature raided next-door freshman Rep. Larry BucshonLarry Dean BucshonLawmakers worry about rise in drugged driving Title X Family Planning proposed rule takes an important step forward in protecting unborn life Combatting our opioid crisis with comprehensive treatment centers MORE’s (R) district for Republican pockets, shoring up Young and making Bucshon more vulnerable.
 

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9. Rep. Paul RyanPaul Davis RyanMcCarthy introduces bill to fully fund Trump's border wall On The Money: McCarthy offers bill to fully fund Trump border wall | US to press China on currency in trade talks | Mnuchin plans to go ahead with Saudi trip | How America's urban-rural divide is changing the Dems Election Countdown: Minnesota Dems worry Ellison allegations could cost them key race | Dems struggle to mobilize Latino voters | Takeaways from Tennessee Senate debate | Poll puts Cruz up 9 in Texas MORE (R-Wis.)
The House Budget Committee chairman’s district has trended a bit Democratic in recent years and went narrowly for then-candidate Obama in 2008, making it a swing district. While Ryan has remained personally popular in the district and has topped 60 percent in every one of his reelections, his plan to privatize Medicare had made Democrats hopeful they could make an example of him this year. But Republicans in control of the statehouse rushed through a redistricting plan ahead of the state Senate recalls that made Ryan’s district a few points more Republican. Since then there has been little talk from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee about targeting Ryan.
 
8. Rep. Gerry ConnollyGerald (Gerry) Edward ConnollyVirginia Dem rips administration on Khashoggi Democrats see hypocrisy in GOP attacks on ‘liberal mob’ Oversight Dems call for probe into citizenship question on 2020 census MORE (D-Va.)
Connelly won a Democratic-trending Northern Virginia seat in 2008 and was expected to cruise to reelection in 2010, but held on by slightly more than 1,000 votes. Republicans hope to push through a redistricting plan that will shore up neighboring Virginia GOP incumbent Rep. Frank WolfFrank Rudolph WolfVulnerable Republican keeps focus as Democrats highlight Trump Bolton could be the first national security chief to prioritize religious freedom House votes to mandate sexual harassment training for members and staff MORE. In doing so, the GOP would inadvertently also shore up Connolly’s district. If the Republicans can win two seats to take control of the state Senate this November, they will push through their incumbent-protection plan. If not, Democrats hope to tie up the process and let the courts draw the map, which will likely have little impact on Connolly’s district.
 
7. Rep. Sean DuffySean Patrick DuffyOn The Money: Midterms to shake up House finance panel | Chamber chief says US not in trade war | Mulvaney moving CFPB unit out of DC | Conservatives frustrated over big spending bills Midterms to shake up top posts on House finance panel Strength in Unity: A lesson on civility and cooperation from Ireland MORE (R-Wis.)
Duffy won a Democratic-leaning northwest Wisconsin seat that had been held by Democratic Rep. David Obey from 1969 until his retirement this year, and Democrats have him in their crosshairs next cycle. The GOP state legislators helped him out by swapping some more Democratic territory south of his district with Republican areas, making the district a toss-up and giving him a better chance of holding on to the seat.
 
6. Rep. Tim Walberg (R-Mich.)
Walberg, a staunch conservative in a Republican-leaning district, beat a centrist Republican in 2006 en route to winning the seat, but lost it to centrist Rep. Mark Schauer (D) two years later. He then beat Schauer in a rematch by 5 points last election, not a huge margin in such a strong Republican year. The Republicans who controlled Michigan’s redistricting made sure to cut Schauer’s home base out of the district and make it a few points more Republican. Schauer said that he will not run for a rematch because of the new map.
 
5. Rep. Austin Scott (R-Ga.)
Scott beat former Rep. Jim Marshall (D) in 2010 by 6 points in a district that is always more Democratic in presidential years because of higher African-American turnout. Georgia’s Republican-controlled legislature passed a map last week that moves many African Americans to neighboring Rep. Sanford Bishop’s (D-Ga.) district, giving Scott a safe seat.
 
4. Rep. Sanford Bishop (D-Ga.)
Bishop barely held on to his seat last election, winning by just 3 points. But Republicans who desired to shore up Scott also helped Bishop by making the district more heavily African American. He’s unlikely to face another serious threat going forward.
 
3. Rep. Franco ‘Quico’ Canseco (R-Texas)
Canseco beat Rep. Ciro Rodriguez (D) by 5 points in a Republican-leaning but heavily Hispanic district stretching hundreds of miles along the Texas-Mexico border. Republicans were careful when they redrew the district not to bring down the district’s Hispanic percentage in order to avoid violating the Voting Rights Act, which protects minority voters, but craftily switched out high-voting Democratic Hispanic areas with areas that have lower turnout. If the district stands up to legal scrutiny, Canseco will be in a better position heading into next year’s election.
 
2. Rep. Renee Ellmers (R-N.C.)
Ellmers narrowly beat former Rep. Bob Etheridge, a conservative Democrat, by fewer than 1,500 votes last election. Democrats had drawn the district to be as Democratic as possible in 2001, and the GOP has paid them back by taking it from a slightly GOP-leaning district to one that’s more solidly Republican.
 
1. Rep. Blake FarentholdRandolph (Blake) Blake FarentholdFormer aides alleging sexual harassment on Capitol Hill urge congressional action AP Analysis: 25 state lawmakers running in 2018 have been accused of sexual misconduct Ex-lawmakers see tough job market with trade groups MORE (R-Texas)
Farenthold was one of 2010’s biggest surprises — he edged former Rep. Solomon Ortiz (D-Texas) by fewer than 1,000 votes in a heavily Hispanic border district where midterm election turnout is a perennial problem for Democrats. The new GOP map moved his district into white, heavily Republican Corpus Christi. Assuming no Republicans decide to challenge him in a primary and the new map stands up to Voting Rights Act challenges, it will transform Farenthold from an accidental winner into a second-term incumbent in a safe district.
 
A partial list of other incumbents who have been or could be helped: Reps. Raul Grijalva (D-Ariz.), Ken Calvert (R-Calif.), Kevin YoderKevin Wayne YoderKavanaugh becomes new flashpoint in midterms defined by anger Election Countdown: Big fundraising numbers in fight for Senate | Haley resigns in surprise move | Says she will back Trump in 2020 | Sanders hitting midterm trail | Collins becomes top Dem target | Takeaways from Indiana Senate debate Overnight Health Care — Presented by the Coalition for Affordable Prescription Drugs — Ryan blasts Medicare for all | Senate Dems to force vote on 'junk' insurance plans | Ads hit Collins over Kavanaugh vote MORE (R-Kansas), Justin AmashJustin AmashWatchdog files Hatch Act complaint against Sanders for picture with Kanye in MAGA hat Cook Political Report shifts 7 more races towards Dems Rand Paul ramps up his alliance with Trump MORE (R-Mich.), Dan BenishekDaniel (Dan) Joseph BenishekRepublican groups launch final ad blitz in key House battlegrounds Tea Party class reassesses record Michigan Republican to retire MORE (R-Mich.), Joe Heck (R-Nev.), Michael Grimm (R-N.Y.), Steve Chabot (R-Ohio), Mike Turner (R-Ohio), Steve Stivers (R-Ohio), Charlie Dent (R-Pa.), Jim GerlachJames (Jim) Gerlach2018 midterms: The blue wave or a red dawn? Pa. GOP 'disappointed' by rep retiring after filing deadline Pennsylvania Republican Costello won't seek reelection MORE (R-Pa.), Pat Meehan (R-Pa.), Mike Kitzpatrick (R-Pa.), Pete Sessions (R-Texas), Frank Wolf (R-Va.), Jaime Herrera BeutlerJaime Lynn Herrera BeutlerWashington’s Dem governor invites Trump to come campaign for GOP candidates Dems see wider path to House after tight Ohio race Record numbers of women nominated for governor, Congress MORE (R-Wash.) and Dave ReichertDavid (Dave) George ReichertHow the Trump tax law passed: GOP adds sweeteners House battlefield expands as ad wars hit new peak Election Countdown: GOP worries House majority endangered by top of ticket | Dems make history in Tuesday's primaries | Parties fight for Puerto Rican vote in Florida | GOP lawmakers plan 'Freedom Tour' MORE (R-Wash.).